This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 3-bathroom house of 227 m², built in 2002. Located Mafra parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy features: This property boasts panoramic views from a spacious terrace, enhancing its outdoor living experience and providing a serene atmosphere for relaxation.
The valuation. The asking price of €850,000 is approximately 7.9% below the fair value of €922,841, indicating this property is priced fairly. This slight discount may attract cautious buyers looking for value. Buy-to-flip angle. A buy-to-flip strategy could involve cosmetic renovations to modernize the finishes, potentially increasing the resale value in a burgeoning coastal market. With the current condition rated at 70/100, additional investment could yield significant returns. Buy-to-let angle. With an estimated rental income of €2,054/month, the gross yield stands at 2.9%, making it a viable long-term rental option. The family rental strategy aligns well with local demand, especially given the proximity to Lisbon for commuters.
Fair value modelled at €922,841 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €850,000 sits €72,841 (7.9%) below — the upside to fair value.
Asking €850,000 versus the Mafra, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €846,484 (€3,729/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 70/100 is below the parish average, reducing fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €846,484, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €922,841 (€4,065/m²), a €72,841 (7.9%) gap versus the €850,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mafra · b32a03 | Subject | €850,000 | €3,744 | — | 68 | 56 |
| Ericeira · 65a46e | Active | €550,000 | €3,438 | 8.2% | 72 | 48 |
| rua Mato da Cruz, 22 | Active | €550,000 | €3,438 | 8.2% | 60 | 56 |
| rua Pinhal da Carrasqueira | Active | €739,000 | €4,452 | 18.9% | 75 | 61 |
| Ericeira · ba59ef | Active | €949,000 | €4,541 | 21.3% | 78 | 48 |
| Median comp | €644,500 | €3,945 | 5.4% | 74 | 52 |
Long-term rental The property yields a gross return of 2.9%, which reflects the balanced demand for housing in the area. Given the fair valuation of €922,841, it is advisable to monitor local rental rates to assess potential future returns. Buy-and-hold While the property is fairly valued, the potential for appreciation is limited given its current condition rating of 70/100. Investors should account for the broader economic factors and neighborhood score of 56/100 when considering long-term strategies. Family rental With a substantial 227m² footprint, the house could appeal to families seeking spacious living outside Lisbon's urban core. However, the property’s fair valuation may warrant careful consideration of rental pricing against the local economic backdrop. Not ideal for: The house is not suited for student housing due to its location and amenities, which may appeal less to a younger demographic. Additionally, the property’s characteristics do not align with the luxury market or expectations for short-term vacation rentals.
Economic Vulnerability The economic stability score of 50 indicates significant exposure to market fluctuations, which could negatively impact rental income stability.
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