This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
2-bedroom, 2-bathroom duplex of 133 m², built in 2024, energy rating B. Located Ericeira parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: This duplex boasts a spacious outdoor area with a 37 m² private patio, perfect for entertaining and enjoying its panoramic sea views. Energy Efficiency: Equipped with underfloor heating and electric charging point for vehicles.
The valuation. The asking price of €649,000 is €237,490 (57.7%) above the fair value of €411,510, indicating that the property is overpriced.
Fair value modelled at €411,510 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €649,000 sits €237,490 (57.7%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €649,000 versus the Ericeira, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €484,613 (€3,644/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 84/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price below the wider parish average — a hyper-local discount distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €484,613, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €411,510 (€3,094/m²), a €237,490 (57.7%) gap versus the €649,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ericeira · d749c0 | Subject | €649,000 | €4,880 | — | 85 | 61 |
| Ericeira · 8ee315 | Active | €625,000 | €3,094 | 36.6% | 80 | 64 |
| Ericeira · 6a955d | Active | €625,000 | €3,094 | 36.6% | 82 | 53 |
| Ericeira · ba3e05 | Active | €795,000 | €2,565 | 47.4% | 80 | 55 |
| rua da Liberdade | Active | €950,000 | €5,793 | 18.7% | 80 | 67 |
| Median comp | €710,000 | €3,094 | 36.6% | 80 | 60 |
Long-term rental The 2-bed duplex in Ericeira is currently priced 57.7% above its fair value, indicating that potential rental income of 2.3% gross may not justify such a high investment. Considering the average neighborhood quality score of 61/100, returns could be further compromised due to limited tenant demand in relation to property pricing. Family rental With a listing price of €649,000 against a fair value of €411,510, this property presents a significant mismatch that places pressure on achievable rental yields. While the location benefits from amenities and safety typical of suburban areas, the high asking price may deter families seeking more financially viable options in the market. Buy-and-hold Investing in this duplex at its current listing price is unlikely to provide satisfactory long-term capital appreciation, given the 57.7% gap from fair value. The relatively low gross yield of 2.3% further diminishes its attractiveness as a stable asset for future value growth, making it a risky buy-and-hold strategy.
Economic Dependence Risk The economic stability score of 70/100 suggests a moderately positive outlook, but combined with a tenant stability score of only 60/100, there's a risk that tenant turnover may negatively impact rental income, especially during economic downturns.
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