This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 2-bathroom country_house of 207 m², energy rating E. Located on estrada Real, Montijo e Afonsoeiro parish, Montijo municipality, Setúbal district. Noteworthy Features: The estate boasts a diverse orchard with 17 fruit trees and century-old olive trees, enhancing its agricultural value and natural beauty, set on nearly 8 hectares of land.
The valuation. The asking price of €630,000 is significantly above the fair value of €387,736, indicating it is overpriced by €242,264 (62.5%). This discrepancy makes the property a less attractive option for potential buyers. Buy-to-flip angle. A resale strategy would likely require substantial renovations due to the property's average condition score of 49/100, targeting buyers looking for a home with modern updates. The goal would be to increase value quickly for a profitable flip. Buy-to-let angle. With an estimated gross yield of 4.8%, this property offers a monthly rental income of approximately €2,520, appealing to long-term tenants seeking a spacious home in a mixed neighborhood. A buy-and-hold strategy could provide steady cash flow while waiting for appreciation.
Fair value modelled at €387,736 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €630,000 sits €242,264 (62.5%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €630,000 versus the estrada Real area baseline of €447,629 (€2,162/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 49/100 is below the parish average, reducing fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €447,629, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €387,736 (€1,873/m²), a €242,264 (62.5%) gap versus the €630,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| estrada Real | Subject | €630,000 | €3,043 | — | 42 | 54 |
| praça da República S / N | Active | €350,000 | €1,759 | 42.2% | 50 | 75 |
| praça da República | Active | €250,000 | €1,289 | 57.7% | 45 | 70 |
| rua da Beira Baixa | Active | €475,000 | €1,987 | 34.7% | 65 | 68 |
| Montijo e Afonsoeiro · 4d4538 | Active | €424,700 | €1,464 | 51.9% | 42 | 45 |
| Median comp | €387,350 | €1,612 | 47.1% | 48 | 69 |
Long-term rental Despite a gross yield of 4.8%, the property in Montijo e Afonsoeiro is overpriced by 62.5% compared to its fair value of €387,736. This significant gap undermines the potential financial stability expected from a long-term rental investment. Family rental While a 4-bed country house may appeal to families, the current asking price of €630,000 renders it overpriced and less attractive in a rural-suburban market with a neighbourhood score of just 54/100. Families seeking quality housing may be discouraged by the high price relative to the local economic conditions. Buy-and-hold Investors pursuing a buy-and-hold strategy must recognize that this property is significantly overpriced by 62.5%, raising concerns over potential long-term appreciation and return on investment. Given the low condition rating of 49/100, this could lead to higher maintenance costs that further erode profitability in the long run.
Economic Volatility Risk With an economic stability score of 55/100, the property is exposed to potential market fluctuations that may affect tenant retention and rental income stability.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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