This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
5-bedroom, 4-bathroom house of 374 m², energy rating C. Located Igreja Nova e Cheleiros parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Feature: This property includes a wine cellar with an open fireplace, enhancing its rustic charm and providing an inviting space for entertaining or relaxation. Additional Context: The expansive 5,331m² plot offers unparalleled privacy and the potential for outdoor recreational activities.
The valuation. The asking price of €950,000 is significantly above its fair value of €751,163, representing an overvaluation of €198,837, or 26.5%. This pricing indicates that the property is overpriced in the current market.
Fair value modelled at €751,163 from 5 comparable sales in the area. Asking €950,000 sits €198,837 (26.5%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €950,000 versus the Igreja Nova e Cheleiros, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €938,671 (€2,510/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 69/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price below the wider parish average — a hyper-local discount distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €938,671, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €751,163 (€2,008/m²), a €198,837 (26.5%) gap versus the €950,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igreja Nova e Cheleiros · 89e655 | Subject | €950,000 | €2,540 | — | 65 | 68 |
| rua dos Lavadouros | Active | €950,000 | €2,008 | 20.9% | 70 | 65 |
| Igreja Nova e Cheleiros · 8ee309 | Active | €640,000 | €1,416 | 44.3% | 72 | 70 |
| Igreja Nova e Cheleiros · f364d7 | Active | €510,000 | €4,250 | 67.3% | 72 | 64 |
| Malveira e São Miguel de Alcainça · 8ee333 | Active | €300,000 | €1,429 | 43.8% | 60 | 70 |
| Median comp | €575,000 | €1,719 | 32.3% | 71 | 68 |
Long-term rental The current listing price of €950,000 significantly exceeds the fair value of €751,163, indicating a 26.5% gap that makes this investment overpriced. A gross yield of 3.5% suggests limited return potential, especially given the neighborhood's median ratings and condition scores. Family rental At €950,000, the property is overpriced compared to its fair value of €751,163, leading to a concerning 26.5% gap. The yields associated with family rentals in this area do not justify the high listing price, particularly with a condition score of 69/100 which can impact rental appeal. Buy-and-hold The buy-and-hold strategy for this property is fundamentally challenged by its overpriced status at €950,000 against a fair value of €751,163, creating a substantial gap of 26.5%. Given the relatively low yield of 3.5% and the average neighborhood ratings, long-term appreciation prospects appear limited and less attractive. Not ideal for Considering the property’s condition and neighborhood scores, it is not suitable for the luxury market. Additionally, the characteristics observed do not align with the requirements for student housing or short-term vacation rentals, which would face occupancy challenges in this context.
Economic and Tenant Stability Risk The property faces a potential risk due to both the economic stability score of 65/100 and the tenant stability score of 65/100, indicating moderate vulnerability to fluctuations in market conditions and tenant retention.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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