This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
5-bedroom, 3-bathroom house of 295 m², built in 2011, energy rating A. Located Cascais e Estoril parish, Cascais municipality, Lisbon district. This villa features an independent lounge, offering versatile use as a games room, gym, or office, enhancing the outdoor living experience with seamless transition to the manicured garden.
The valuation. The asking price of €3,500,000 sits significantly above fair value at €1,997,959, representing an excess of €1,502,041, or 75.2%. The property is clearly overpriced in the current market conditions.
Fair value modelled at €1,997,959 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €3,500,000 sits €1,502,041 (75.2%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €3,500,000 versus the Cascais e Estoril, Cascais, Lisbon area baseline of €1,841,619 (€6,243/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 83/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €1,841,619, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €1,997,959 (€6,773/m²), a €1,502,041 (75.2%) gap versus the €3,500,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cascais e Estoril · 6227c3 | Subject | €3,500,000 | €11,864 | — | 85 | 68 |
| avenida Almirante João de Azevedo Coutinho S / N | Active | €1,590,000 | €5,761 | 51.4% | 82 | 67 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 49b865 | Active | €7,500,000 | €12,777 | 7.7% | 85 | 68 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 28b6d0 | Active | €2,100,000 | €6,122 | 48.4% | 80 | 65 |
| Alcabideche · b32944 | Active | €3,650,000 | €6,797 | 42.7% | 90 | 73 |
| Median comp | €2,875,000 | €6,460 | 45.6% | 84 | 68 |
Long-term rental The property is overpriced by 75.2% compared to its fair value of €1,997,959, which makes it a less attractive option for long-term rental investments. With a gross yield of only 1.7%, the potential return does not justify the high purchase price in the current market conditions. Family rental Given the significant gap between the listing price and fair value, this 5-bed house may deter families looking for a reasonably priced rental option. The suburban location of Cascais e Estoril may offer good amenities, but the current pricing does not align with the expectations of family-oriented tenants. Buy-and-hold Investing in this property as a buy-and-hold strategy is not advisable due to its 75.2% overvaluation relative to fair market assessment. The combination of high acquisition costs and a limited gross yield of 1.7% suggests that long-term appreciation may not be sufficient to compensate for current market mispricing.
Tenant turnover risk With a tenant stability score of 65/100, there may be a higher likelihood of tenant turnover, which can lead to increased vacancy rates and associated costs.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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