This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 6-bathroom house of 460 m², energy rating A. Located on rua Padre Miguel Barros, Cascais e Estoril parish, Cascais municipality, Lisbon district. This property features a secure bunker designed for four occupants, complete with an autonomous air system, ensuring both safety and peace of mind.
The valuation. The asking price of €3,900,000 exceeds the fair value of €3,422,122 by €477,878 (14.0%), indicating that this property is overpriced. This discrepancy suggests a lack of immediate investment appeal based on current market valuations. Buy-to-flip angle. A buy-to-flip strategy would likely focus on minor renovations to enhance resale value, but the current asking price limits potential profit margins, making quick flips less attractive. Instead, investors may seek more financially viable options. Buy-to-let angle. The property’s estimated rental income of €4,225/month results in a low gross yield of 1.3%, indicating that it may not provide strong cash flow for long-term rental strategies in the current market. Family renters may be attracted due to the location's amenities.
Fair value modelled at €3,422,122 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €3,900,000 sits €477,878 (14.0%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €3,900,000 versus the rua Padre Miguel Barros area baseline of €2,785,693 (€6,056/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 85/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €2,785,693, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €3,422,122 (€7,439/m²), a €477,878 (14.0%) gap versus the €3,900,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rua Padre Miguel Barros | Subject | €3,900,000 | €8,478 | — | 79 | 69 |
| rua do Cabo, 318 | Active | €1,785,000 | €7,564 | 10.8% | 82 | 70 |
| rua das Peónias S / N | Active | €3,650,000 | €13,036 | 53.8% | 90 | 71 |
| rua das Codornizes | Active | €4,850,000 | €7,315 | 13.7% | 90 | 69 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 468197 | Active | €4,060,000 | €6,559 | 22.6% | 88 | 69 |
| Median comp | €3,855,000 | €7,440 | 12.3% | 89 | 70 |
Long-term rental The property’s gross yield of 1.3% indicates that it is significantly overpriced compared to the fair value of €3,422,122. This limits the potential for strong rental income, making it a less attractive option for long-term investment in the Cascais area. Family rental Despite its proximity to Lisbon schools that may appeal to families, the house's high listing price of €3,900,000 places it out of reach for many potential family renters. The neighbourhood score of 69/100 suggests it lacks some amenities or appeal, further reinforcing its overpriced status. Buy-and-hold The current listing price reflects a 14.0% gap from fair value, suggesting that the buy-and-hold strategy is not advisable at €3,900,000, as future appreciation may not compensate for the high entry cost. Additionally, the property’s condition rating of 85/100 does not sufficiently justify the premium pricing in a competitive market to warrant a long-term hold.
Tenant turnover risk With a Tenant stability score of 60/100, there is a heightened risk of higher tenant turnover, potentially leading to increased vacancy rates and costs associated with finding new tenants.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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