This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
2-bedroom, 1-bathroom apartment of 84 m², built in 1977, energy rating D. Located Póvoa de Santa Iria e Forte da Casa parish, Vila Franca de Xira municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: This apartment boasts two balconies with excellent solar exposure and a rare wide view over the river, enhancing its appeal for relaxation and outdoor enjoyment.
The valuation. The asking price of €280,000 is below fair value of €308,625, representing a difference of €28,625 (9.3%). This positions the property as fairly valued in the current market. Buy-to-flip angle. With an estimated gross margin from resale potential, the buy-to-flip strategy could capitalize on renovations tailored to modern preferences, aiming for a profitable turnover in a rising market. Buy-to-let angle. This property could generate an estimated monthly rental income of €957, delivering a gross yield of 4.1%. Its location and size make it attractive for long-term family rental opportunities in a sub-urban setting.
Fair value modelled at €308,625 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €280,000 sits €28,625 (9.3%) below — the upside to fair value.
Asking €280,000 versus the Póvoa de Santa Iria e Forte da Casa, Vila Franca de Xira, Lisbon area baseline of €275,071 (€3,275/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 66/100 is below the parish average, reducing fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €275,071, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €308,625 (€3,674/m²), a €28,625 (9.3%) gap versus the €280,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Póvoa de Santa Iria e Forte da Casa · 622a4a | Subject | €280,000 | €3,333 | — | 68 | 69 |
| rua dos Lusíadas S / N | Active | €286,000 | €3,365 | 0.9% | 70 | 76 |
| largo Luís de Camões, 4 | Active | €265,000 | €3,581 | 7.4% | 72 | 71 |
| Póvoa de Santa Iria e Forte da Casa · 468012 | Active | €275,000 | €3,767 | 13.0% | 62 | 74 |
| rua do Olival Santo | Active | €270,000 | €4,154 | 24.6% | 70 | 74 |
| Median comp | €272,500 | €3,674 | 10.2% | 70 | 74 |
Long-term rental The property’s fair value suggests a moderate yield potential of 4.1%, which positions it reasonably well in the long-term rental market. However, given the fair market status, investors should approach this opportunity with caution regarding rental demand in suburban areas. Family rental This 2-bed apartment offers good space and amenities suitable for families, maintaining a neighborhood score of 69/100. While investors might find the rental market stable, they need to consider the fair valuation and potential competition in the area. Buy-and-hold As a buy-and-hold investment, this apartment shows promise due to its connection to the Lisbon metropolitan area and the decent condition rating of 66/100. However, with the property being fairly priced, long-term appreciation might not meet aggressive investment returns. Not ideal for short-term vacation rental The suburban setting may not attract the same level of short-term rental demand, leading to lower occupancy rates. Furthermore, the fair pricing indicates limited upside potential for this strategy. Not ideal for luxury market Given the property’s characteristics and fair valuation, it lacks the attributes associated with the luxury market, limiting its appeal to higher-end tenants. This mismatch could hinder investor returns in what is typically a competitive segment. Not ideal for student housing With a location that is more suburban and less integrated into university areas, this apartment is not strategically positioned for student housing. Additionally, the fair price suggests limited appeal in a market often driven by more affordable options for students.
Economic Vulnerability The economic stability score of 75 indicates a moderate risk due to potential fluctuations in the local economy, while the tenant stability score of 65 suggests a higher chance of tenant turnover affecting continuous cash flow.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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