This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 2-bathroom apartment of 106 m² on the 5th floor, energy rating C. Located on estrada de Chelas, Penha de França parish, Lisbon municipality, Lisbon district. The apartment features a private storage unit on the top floor, maximizing utility in a compact living space, while offering panoramic views of Tagus River from the balcony.
The valuation. The asking price of €529,500 is slightly below the fair value of €540,794, indicating a difference of €11,294 or 2.1%. This aligns with the verdict that the property is fairly priced. Buy-to-flip angle. With a strong demand in Lisbon's central area, a resale strategy could capitalize on the predicted appreciation in property values, allowing for a profitable flip within one to two years. Buy-to-let angle. The gross yield stands at an attractive 3.4%, with estimated rental income around €1,500 monthly, making it a solid buy-and-hold investment for long-term passive income.
Fair value modelled at €540,794 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €529,500 sits €11,294 (2.1%) below — the upside to fair value.
Asking €529,500 versus the estrada de Chelas area baseline of €392,735 (€3,705/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 85/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €392,735, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €540,794 (€5,102/m²), a €11,294 (2.1%) gap versus the €529,500 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| estrada de Chelas | Subject | €529,500 | €4,995 | — | 82 | 82 |
| avenida Conde de Valbom, 65 | Active | €650,000 | €4,577 | 8.4% | 80 | 85 |
| rua Sarmento de Beires, 32 | Active | €680,000 | €5,075 | 1.6% | 73 | 78 |
| rua Actor Vale, 41 | Active | €575,000 | €4,873 | 2.5% | 72 | 83 |
| avenida da Liberdade | Active | €985,000 | €7,296 | 46.1% | 78 | 87 |
| Median comp | €665,000 | €4,974 | 0.4% | 76 | 84 |
Long-term rental This 3-bed apartment in Penha de França, currently listed at €529,500, presents a fair investment opportunity as it aligns closely with its fair value of €540,794, reflecting a minimal gap of 2.1%. With a gross yield of 3.4%, it offers steady cash flow potential in a neighbourhood with strong tenant quality and amenities. Short-term vacation rental The property's fair valuation suggests that the current listing price of €529,500 is appropriate, as the fair value sits at €540,794 with a minor difference of 2.1%. Additionally, the apartment's good condition rating of 85/100 and the attractive neighbourhood enhance its appeal for short-term rental opportunities. Buy-and-hold At a listing price of €529,500, which is fair against the calculated fair value of €540,794, the investment suggests stability rather than a significant upside. The strong economic outlook and vibrant amenities in Penha de França support the potential for long-term capital appreciation without the expectation of immediate gains.
Tenant turnover risk With a tenant stability score of 70/100, there is a significant risk of increased tenant turnover, which could lead to higher vacancy rates and associated costs.
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