This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
5-bedroom, 2-bathroom house of 120 m², energy rating C. Located Ericeira parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. The property features an extensive 5,000m² plot, offering potential for expansive outdoor living, gardens, and customization, while being just minutes from historical attractions and beaches.
The valuation. The asking price of €1,150,000 is significantly above the fair value of €539,549, representing an overvaluation of €610,451 (113.1%). Therefore, this property is considered overpriced and may not present a viable investment opportunity.
Fair value modelled at €539,549 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €1,150,000 sits €610,451 (113.1%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €1,150,000 versus the Ericeira, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €656,776 (€5,473/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 71/100 is below the parish average, reducing fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price below the wider parish average — a hyper-local discount distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €656,776, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €539,549 (€4,496/m²), a €610,451 (113.1%) gap versus the €1,150,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ericeira · 19088e | Subject | €1,150,000 | €9,583 | — | 72 | 58 |
| Mafra · f46a5a | Active | €950,000 | €4,657 | 51.4% | 73 | 58 |
| Santo Isidoro · ba5b8b | Active | €1,150,000 | €9,664 | 0.8% | — | 47 |
| Ericeira · ba59ef | Active | €949,000 | €4,541 | 52.6% | 78 | 48 |
| Mafra · b32a03 | Active | €850,000 | €3,744 | 60.9% | 68 | 56 |
| Median comp | €949,500 | €4,599 | 52.0% | 73 | 52 |
Long-term rental Given the gross yield of 2.4% and a significant gap of 113.1% above its fair value, this property is not positioned to generate attractive rental returns in the long term. Additionally, the rural location along with a mediocre neighborhood score of 58/100 suggests that tenant demand may be limited, making long-term rental less appealing. Buy-and-hold With a fair value of €539,549, the current listing price of €1,150,000 indicates that the property is overpriced by 113.1%, compromising potential appreciation over time. The combination of lower tenant quality and average amenities in the area further diminishes the viability of a buy-and-hold strategy for this investment.
Inconsistent income potential The economic stability score of 55 suggests a risk of fluctuating income, which combined with a tenant stability score of 60 indicates potential challenges in maintaining consistent rent collection rates.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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