This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 2-bathroom villa of 113 m², built in 1990, energy rating D. Located Ericeira parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: The villa includes a panoramic terrace for enjoying stunning sea views, and access to exclusive leisure amenities like tennis courts and a co-working area within a secure condominium.
The valuation. The asking price of €560,000 is significantly above the fair value of €308,690, indicating a disparity of €251,310 (81.4%). This property is considered overpriced given its current market valuation.
Fair value modelled at €308,690 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €560,000 sits €251,310 (81.4%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €560,000 versus the Ericeira, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €378,411 (€3,349/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 76/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price below the wider parish average — a hyper-local discount distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €378,411, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €308,690 (€2,732/m²), a €251,310 (81.4%) gap versus the €560,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ericeira · a79df2 | Subject | €560,000 | €4,956 | — | 74 | 58 |
| Ericeira · 0dcd6d | Active | €560,000 | €2,995 | 39.6% | 80 | 59 |
| rua do Vale Caeiro, 3 | Active | €560,000 | €2,569 | 48.2% | 80 | 52 |
| Ericeira · b32ad0 | Active | €330,000 | €2,895 | 41.6% | 70 | 51 |
| rua do Vale Caeiro, 3 | Active | €560,000 | €2,569 | 48.2% | 85 | 53 |
| Median comp | €560,000 | €2,732 | 44.9% | 80 | 53 |
Long-term rental The 3-bed villa in Ericeira is overpriced at €560,000 compared to the fair value of €308,690, creating a significant gap of 81.4%. With a gross yield of only 2.7% and a neighbourhood rating of 58/100, the property fails to offer the potential for strong rental returns desirable in long-term investments. Family rental Although catering to families, the villa's high price tag of €560,000 markedly exceeds its fair value of €308,690, indicating it is overpriced by 81.4%. Furthermore, with an average condition score of 76/100 and a neighbourhood quality of 58/100, the appeal to families may diminish due to the investment cost being unjustified by the overall offering. Buy-and-hold At a listing price of €560,000, the 3-bed villa in Ericeira is notably overpriced when juxtaposed against the fair value of €308,690, revealing an 81.4% gap. The anticipated return, illustrated by a gross yield of just 2.7%, does not align with the holding strategy normally sought by investors looking for long-term appreciation in value. Not ideal for Luxury market, Short-term rental, Student housing
Economic Dependency Risk The property's economic stability score of 55/100 indicates a potential vulnerability to economic downturns, which may lead to increased vacancy rates and reduced tenant quality.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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