This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
5-bedroom, 4-bathroom house of 532 m², energy rating D. Located Ericeira parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: This property includes a legalised water borehole and an adaptable attic that enhances its potential for various uses, catering to diverse family needs. Privacy Note: The vast 1,620 m² plot offers total privacy and excellent sun exposure, enhancing the outdoor experience in a quiet area near the sea.
The valuation. The asking price of €1,500,000 sits €137,088 (10.1%) above the fair value of €1,362,912, indicating that the property is valued fairly. This aligns well with the overall condition and finishes provided. Buy-to-flip angle. Reselling this property can be pursued by investing in minor cosmetic upgrades to enhance appeal, allowing for a profitable flip in the rapidly growing coastal market. This could trigger an appreciation in value beyond the initial investment. Buy-to-let angle. The estimated rental income of €3,000/month yields a gross return of 2.4%, which supports a long-term hold strategy. The coastal location provides steady demand for rentals, particularly from tourists seeking accommodation.
Fair value modelled at €1,362,912 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €1,500,000 sits €137,088 (10.1%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €1,500,000 versus the Ericeira, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €1,593,636 (€2,996/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 76/100 is below the parish average, reducing fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price below the wider parish average — a hyper-local discount distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €1,593,636, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €1,362,912 (€2,562/m²), a €137,088 (10.1%) gap versus the €1,500,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ericeira · 38b6f5 | Subject | €1,500,000 | €2,820 | — | 72 | 58 |
| rua do Moinho Velho | Active | €849,000 | €2,405 | 14.7% | 75 | 57 |
| rua dos Descobrimentos S / N | Active | €990,000 | €3,390 | 20.2% | 68 | 61 |
| Ericeira · 86ca99 | Active | €740,000 | €2,145 | 23.9% | 57 | 56 |
| Ericeira · 653074 | Active | €715,000 | €2,719 | 3.6% | 78 | 62 |
| Median comp | €794,500 | €2,562 | 9.1% | 72 | 59 |
Long-term rental The property offers a gross yield of 2.4%, indicating a modest income potential in the long-term rental market. With a fair value of €1,362,912, the current listing price of €1,500,000 suggests that while the investment is reasonable, it does not provide a compelling advantage for long-term rental returns. Buy-and-hold Investing in this property for a buy-and-hold strategy could be viable given its fair condition score of 76/100 and a fair location for future appreciation. However, with a current valuation that exceeds fair value by 10.1%, potential appreciation may not sufficiently offset the elevated entry cost for long-term investors.
Economic Vulnerability The economic stability score of 55/100 indicates a potential for reduced demand and income volatility that could impact property performance negatively. Tenant Instability With a tenant stability score of 65/100, there is a moderate risk of short-term leases or tenant turnover, which may affect cash flow.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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