This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 4-bathroom villa of 272 m², energy rating A. Located on rua Manuel Afonso Maia S / N, Lagoa e Carvoeiro parish, Lagoa municipality, Faro district. Noteworthy Features: This villa boasts a central location in Carvoeiro with easy access to village amenities and a private garden perfect for entertaining with an integrated barbecue.
The valuation. The property is listed at €745,000, which positions it significantly below the fair value of €1,575,333, representing an attractive potential discount of €830,333 (52.7%). Verdict: underpriced. Buy-to-flip angle. With renovation potential and high-quality finishes, the villa can be marketed as a prime buy-to-flip opportunity by leveraging its current underpricing and demand in the Algarve tourism market. Buy-to-let angle. The anticipated gross yield of 6.6% translates to an estimated rental income of approximately €4,098 per month, capitalizing on the region's appeal for both short-term vacation rentals and long-term leases.
Fair value modelled at €1,575,333 from 5 comparable sales in the area. Asking €745,000 sits €830,333 (52.7%) below — the upside to fair value.
Asking €745,000 versus the rua Manuel Afonso Maia S / N area baseline of €1,299,434 (€4,777/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 85/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €1,299,434, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €1,575,333 (€5,792/m²), a €830,333 (52.7%) gap versus the €745,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rua Manuel Afonso Maia S / N | Subject | €745,000 | €2,739 | — | 81 | 71 |
| rua do Casino | Active | €690,000 | €2,537 | 7.4% | 86 | 72 |
| Lagoa e Carvoeiro · f14e3f | Active | €1,490,000 | €4,038 | 47.4% | 82 | 65 |
| Lagoa e Carvoeiro · 652ff1 | Active | €1,950,000 | €4,382 | 60.0% | 80 | 73 |
| Lagoa e Carvoeiro · 6530a1 | Active | €1,990,000 | €9,171 | 234.8% | 90 | 72 |
| Median comp | €1,720,000 | €4,210 | 53.7% | 84 | 72 |
Short-term vacation rental This property’s prime location in Lagoa e Carvoeiro, backed by a fair value significantly higher than the listing price, positions it well for lucrative short-term vacation rentals, with a gross yield of 6.6%. The strong demand, especially from tourists, enhances its potential for consistent occupancy and revenue generation. Long-term rental With a solid condition rating of 85/100 and a diverse tenant base that includes tourists and expats, this villa is well-suited for long-term rental opportunities, yielding an attractive gross return of 6.6%. The neighbourhood's stability further assures a reliable rental income stream, making it an appealing investment choice. Buy-and-hold Featuring a substantial price gap of 52.7% compared to its fair value, this villa offers a promising buy-and-hold strategy, allowing for future appreciation while generating a steady 6.6% gross yield. The property’s overall condition and desirable location in a tourist-favored area ensure it retains its value over time, positioning it as a wise long-term investment.
Economic and Tenant Instability: With both economic stability and tenant stability scores at 65/100, there is a significant risk of fluctuations in rental income and potential vacancies, which may impact overall profitability.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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