This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
2-bedroom, 2-bathroom villa of 119 m², built in 2027. Located Canha parish, Montijo municipality, Setúbal district. Noteworthy Features: The villa features a potential sculptural garden outline, and its location allows for proximity to rural amenities while still being accessible to urban centers.
The valuation. The asking price of €299,000 sits significantly above the fair value of €169,956, resulting in an overpriced verdict of €129,044 (75.9%). This discrepancy suggests a lack of fundamental support for the current listing price.
Fair value modelled at €169,956 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €299,000 sits €129,044 (75.9%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €299,000 versus the Canha, Montijo, Setúbal area baseline of €344,660 (€2,896/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 10/100 is below the parish average, reducing fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price below the wider parish average — a hyper-local discount distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €344,660, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €169,956 (€1,428/m²), a €129,044 (75.9%) gap versus the €299,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canha · a803af | Subject | €299,000 | €2,513 | — | — | 42 |
| Pegões · dee46e | Active | €235,000 | €1,152 | 54.2% | — | 57 |
| Pegões · 96c669 | Active | €185,000 | €725 | 71.1% | — | 55 |
| rua António Sérgio, 48 | Active | €279,000 | €1,213 | 51.7% | 18 | 53 |
| Poceirão e Marateca · 6ebcf3 | Active | €235,000 | €1,643 | 34.6% | 30 | 50 |
| Median comp | €235,000 | €1,183 | 52.9% | 24 | 54 |
Long-term rental The villa does not present a viable long-term rental opportunity given its 0% gross yield and the significant gap of 75.9% from fair value. The mixed residential and industrial nature of the neighborhood further complicates tenant demand. Buy-and-hold Investing in this villa as a buy-and-hold strategy is not advisable since the property is listed at €299,000, significantly above its fair value of €169,956. The lack of appreciation potential, driven by a poor condition rating of 10/100, limits long-term investment returns. Value-add renovation A value-add renovation approach is unlikely to generate sufficient returns due to the substantial 75.9% overpricing and the existing condition of the property rated 10/100. Renovating in a neighborhood with only a 42/100 score for tenant quality may not result in a desirable increase in market value.
High Vacancy Risk The tenant stability score of 35/100 indicates a significant risk of high vacancy rates, potentially impacting rental income.
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