This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 4-bathroom villa of 236 m², energy rating A+. Located Santa Maria, São Pedro e Sobral da Lagoa parish, Óbidos municipality, Leiria district. This villa features a private pool surrounded by a well-kept garden and a barbecue area, perfect for outdoor leisure and entertaining.
The valuation. The asking price of €610,000 exceeds the fair value of €436,779 by €173,221 (39.7%). Therefore, the property is deemed overpriced.
Fair value modelled at €436,779 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €610,000 sits €173,221 (39.7%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €610,000 versus the Santa Maria, São Pedro e Sobral da Lagoa, Óbidos, Leiria area baseline of €490,863 (€2,080/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 84/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price below the wider parish average — a hyper-local discount distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €490,863, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €436,779 (€1,851/m²), a €173,221 (39.7%) gap versus the €610,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Maria, São Pedro e Sobral da Lagoa · f10a1a | Subject | €610,000 | €2,585 | — | 85 | 59 |
| rua Nicolau Breyner, 5 | Active | €499,000 | €3,752 | 45.2% | 85 | 59 |
| rua Mártires de Timor S / N | Active | €420,000 | €1,615 | 37.5% | 74 | 55 |
| urbanização Quinta do Pinheiro Manso | Active | €420,000 | €2,625 | 1.6% | 75 | 55 |
| rua Mártires de Timor | Active | €420,000 | €1,615 | 37.5% | 72 | 58 |
| Median comp | €420,000 | €2,120 | 18.0% | 75 | 57 |
Family rental The 4-bed villa in Santa Maria presents a yield of only 3%, which is unattractive given the property is overpriced by 39.7%. Additionally, the neighbourhood's limited amenities and low tenant quality suggest challenges in attracting suitable long-term tenants. Long-term rental With a fair value significantly below the listing price, the villa poses risks for long-term rental strategies, particularly with a yield of just 3%. Coupled with a neighbourhood score of 59/100, the investment could struggle to deliver adequate returns over time. Buy-and-hold Holding this property long-term is questionable given the 39.7% gap to fair value and the limited growth potential from a rural location. The combination of a weak yield of 3% and an economic environment lacking in employment opportunities further diminishes the attractiveness of this buy-and-hold strategy.
Economic Volatility Risk With an Economic Stability score of only 55/100, there is a significant risk that economic downturns could negatively impact tenant retention and rental income.
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