This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
1-bedroom, 1-bathroom apartment of 45 m² on the 3rd floor, built in 1956, energy rating D. Located Campo de Ourique parish, Lisbon municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Feature: The bedroom's innovative layout includes a versatile second zone, ideal for an office or nursery, enhancing functionality within this stylish urban retreat.
The valuation. The asking price of €395,000 significantly exceeds the fair value of €322,500, making it overpriced by €72,500 (22.5%). Buyers should approach this property with caution given the inflated asking price compared to market expectations.
Fair value modelled at €322,500 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €395,000 sits €72,500 (22.5%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €395,000 versus the Campo de Ourique, Lisbon, Lisbon area baseline of €305,390 (€6,786/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 81/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price below the wider parish average — a hyper-local discount distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €305,390, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €322,500 (€7,167/m²), a €72,500 (22.5%) gap versus the €395,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campo de Ourique · 5e63ce | Subject | €395,000 | €8,778 | — | 78 | 82 |
| rua das Madres | Active | €259,000 | €5,180 | 41.0% | 80 | 79 |
| travessa do Rosário, 18 | Active | €420,000 | €10,000 | 13.9% | 74 | 84 |
| rua do Poço dos Negros, 67 | Active | €450,000 | €7,500 | 14.6% | 74 | 80 |
| Campo de Ourique · 91141f | Active | €395,000 | €9,634 | 9.8% | 79 | 90 |
| Median comp | €407,500 | €8,567 | 2.4% | 77 | 82 |
Short-term vacation rental The current listing price of €395,000 is 22.5% above the fair value of €322,500, indicating that this investment is overpriced for a short-term vacation rental strategy. With a gross yield of only 3.2%, the financial return may not justify the high entry cost in downtown Lisbon's competitive short-term rental market. Long-term rental At €395,000, this property exceeds its fair value by 22.5%, which could weaken its appeal as a long-term rental investment. The yield of 3.2% does not provide a compelling return in a city where rental prices have been under pressure and competition is increasing. Buy-and-hold The investment thesis for a buy-and-hold strategy is challenged by the property's 22.5% markup over fair value, making it overpriced given current market conditions. The expected low yield of 3.2% further diminishes the long-term appreciation prospects in a saturated Lisbon market.
[Tenant turnover risk] With a tenant stability score of 70/100, there is a 30% potential risk of high tenant turnover, which may lead to increased vacancy rates and associated costs.
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