This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 3-bathroom villa of 163 m², built in 2023, energy rating A. Located A dos Francos parish, Caldas da Rainha municipality, Leiria district. This villa features a private pool and garden, ideal for gatherings, along with high-quality appliances that enhance its modern living experience.
The valuation. The asking price of €446,000 is significantly above the fair value of €313,282, resulting in an overpriced status of €132,718 (42.4%). This misalignment suggests limited investment attractiveness based on current market conditions.
Fair value modelled at €313,282 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €446,000 sits €132,718 (42.4%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €446,000 versus the A dos Francos, Caldas da Rainha, Leiria area baseline of €355,071 (€2,178/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 81/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price below the wider parish average — a hyper-local discount distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €355,071, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €313,282 (€1,922/m²), a €132,718 (42.4%) gap versus the €446,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A dos Francos · 133aef | Subject | €446,000 | €2,736 | — | 79 | 59 |
| Painho e Figueiros · 19085f | Active | €216,000 | €1,785 | 34.8% | 75 | 58 |
| Painho e Figueiros · 9568c3 | Active | €280,000 | €2,059 | 24.8% | — | 58 |
| Painho e Figueiros · 0902bf | Active | €280,000 | €2,059 | 24.8% | 57 | 58 |
| A dos Francos · 3a7382 | Active | €439,000 | €1,488 | 45.6% | 75 | 57 |
| Median comp | €280,000 | €1,922 | 29.8% | 75 | 58 |
Long-term rental The 3-bed villa in A dos Francos is overpriced by 42.4% compared to its fair value of €313,282, making it a poor choice for long-term rental investment. Given the gross yield of 0%, this property does not present a viable income-generating opportunity. Buy-and-hold This villa's current price of €446,000 exceeds its fair value significantly, which undermines the potential for long-term appreciation in the buy-and-hold strategy. With an 81/100 condition rating but a low neighborhood score of 59/100, the prospects for sustained value growth appear limited. Family rental Despite the villa's condition, its price of €446,000 is markedly above the fair value of €313,282, indicating that it is overpriced for a family rental strategy. Families seeking affordable housing will likely dismiss this property due to its inflated pricing, as it fails to align with their budget expectations.
Tenant turnover risk The combination of a tenant stability score of 60/100 and economic stability at 55/100 suggests a higher likelihood of tenant turnover, which could impact consistent rental income.
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