This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 3-bathroom house of 113 m², built in 1998, energy rating G. Located on rua Doutor Mário de Castro, 40, Caldas da Rainha - Nossa Senhora do Pópulo, Coto e São Gregório parish, Caldas da Rainha municipality, Leiria district. Noteworthy Features: The property includes a converted attic providing additional living space and a closed individual garage with automatic gates for enhanced security and convenience.
The valuation. The asking price of €360,000 is significantly above the fair value of €237,475, reflecting an inflated valuation of €122,525 (51.6%). This property is overpriced based on current market conditions. Buy-to-flip angle. A buy-to-flip strategy could focus on cosmetic updates and market timing, leveraging the home's modern features. Resale may target a value of €400,000 after renovations, potentially yielding a profit. Buy-to-let angle. For rental income, the estimated gross yield of 4.6% from €1,380/month appeals to long-term tenants. This aligns with a buy-and-hold strategy, promoting steady cash flow in a growing area.
Fair value modelled at €237,475 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €360,000 sits €122,525 (51.6%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €360,000 versus the rua Doutor Mário de Castro, 40 area baseline of €205,675 (€1,820/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 79/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price below the wider parish average — a hyper-local discount distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €205,675, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €237,475 (€2,102/m²), a €122,525 (51.6%) gap versus the €360,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rua Doutor Mário de Castro, 40 | Subject | €360,000 | €3,186 | — | 75 | 65 |
| urbanização Quinta do Pinheiro Manso | Active | €420,000 | €2,625 | 17.6% | 75 | 55 |
| rua Mártires de Timor S / N | Active | €420,000 | €1,615 | 49.3% | 74 | 55 |
| rua Custódio Maldonado Freitas | Active | €280,000 | €2,667 | 16.3% | 70 | 58 |
| rua Mártires de Timor | Active | €420,000 | €1,615 | 49.3% | 72 | 58 |
| Median comp | €420,000 | €2,120 | 33.5% | 73 | 57 |
Long-term rental Despite a gross yield of 4.6%, the property's price at €360,000 is significantly above the fair value of €237,475, indicating that it is overpriced in the current market. This discrepancy suggests that potential returns may not justify the high entry cost for a long-term rental strategy. Family rental With a fair value gap of 51.6%, the €360,000 listing price makes the property a poor candidate for family rentals, as affordability may deter prospective tenants. A high asking price, even in a decent neighborhood, could limit the target audience seeking family-friendly accommodations. Buy-and-hold As the property is overpriced relative to its fair value, investing in this house for a buy-and-hold strategy is questionable; the current valuation does not align with any significant capital appreciation potential. The combination of a high entry cost and only moderate neighborhood ratings suggests limited future profit growth in this investment approach.
Economic Vulnerability The property has an economic stability score of 65/100, indicating a moderate risk of economic downturns affecting tenant reliability and rental income.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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