This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 3-bathroom house of 302 m², energy rating E. Located on rua Principal, Alvorninha parish, Caldas da Rainha municipality, Leiria district. This property features over 8,000 m² of fully fenced land, offering unmatched privacy and the potential for diverse outdoor projects, such as gardens, a pool, or animal husbandry.
The valuation. The asking price of €650,000 is above the fair value of €610,822 by €39,178 (6.4%). While the property is labeled as fair, it does not present an attractive opportunity for negotiation.
Fair value modelled at €610,822 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €650,000 sits €39,178 (6.4%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €650,000 versus the rua Principal area baseline of €550,625 (€1,823/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 71/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price below the wider parish average — a hyper-local discount distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €550,625, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €610,822 (€2,023/m²), a €39,178 (6.4%) gap versus the €650,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rua Principal | Subject | €650,000 | €2,152 | — | 70 | 58 |
| União das Freguesias do Cadaval e Pêro Moniz · 829035 | Active | €368,000 | €1,840 | 14.5% | 68 | 55 |
| União das Freguesias do Cadaval e Pêro Moniz · 622b11 | Active | €350,000 | €1,892 | 12.1% | 70 | 58 |
| rua Santa Catarina, 2 | Active | €295,000 | €2,153 | 0% | 70 | 55 |
| Carvalhal Benfeito · cc9a76 | Active | €545,000 | €2,154 | 0.1% | 78 | 59 |
| Median comp | €359,000 | €2,023 | 6.0% | 70 | 57 |
Long-term rental The property has a gross yield of 2.7%, which reflects a steady, yet modest return on investment for long-term rental purposes. Given its fair valuation, rental prospects could be stable but limited by the local economy's reliance on tourism and agriculture. Buy-and-hold As the local market in Alvorninha is stable, holding onto the property could yield moderate capital appreciation over time, although the growth potential is tempered by the neighborhood's lower ratings. The fair valuation suggests potential for maintaining its value, though significant upward movement may be constrained by local economic factors. Value-add renovation With a condition rating of 71/100, there appears to be opportunity for value-add renovations, potentially improving both the property's appeal and rental income. However, the neighborhood's rating of 58/100 indicates that any investments should be approached with caution, as they may not significantly influence long-term returns due to external market pressures.
Economic Vulnerability Given an economic stability score of 50/100, there's a high risk of fluctuating market conditions negatively impacting rental income and property value. Tenant Uncertainty With a tenant stability score of 60/100, there is a risk of potential turnover leading to vacancies and decreased cash flow.
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