This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 4-bathroom villa of 307 m², built in 2008, energy rating A. Located Ericeira parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: This villa features an expansive garden designed for outdoor entertaining and privacy, along with a striking façade that enhances its modern aesthetic and appeal.
The valuation. The asking price of €1,550,000 significantly exceeds the fair value of €1,045,587 by €504,413 (48.2%). This property is overpriced based on current market analyses.
Fair value modelled at €1,426,067 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €1,500,000 sits €73,933 (5.2%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €1,500,000 versus the Encarnação, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €1,197,260 (€3,900/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 84/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €1,197,260, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €1,426,067 (€4,645/m²), a €73,933 (5.2%) gap versus the €1,500,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Encarnação · 101b08 | Subject | €1,500,000 | €4,886 | — | 90 | 58 |
| Encarnação · 2ce2e3 | Active | €1,500,000 | €5,137 | 5.1% | 90 | 60 |
| Santo Isidoro · b7bf48 | Active | €1,300,000 | €4,153 | 15.0% | 80 | 62 |
| Santo Isidoro · 0239a9 | Active | €875,000 | €4,147 | 15.1% | 85 | 57 |
| caminho da Murteira | Active | €1,125,000 | €3,516 | 28.0% | 74 | 60 |
| Median comp | €1,212,500 | €4,150 | 15.1% | 83 | 60 |
Long-term rental The 3-bed villa in Ericeira is currently overpriced, listed at €1,550,000 while its fair value is estimated at €1,045,587, creating a significant gap of 48.2%. With a low gross yield of 1.8%, the potential return does not justify this high entry price, making it an unappealing long-term rental investment. Buy-and-hold Investing in this property as a buy-and-hold strategy is not advisable due to its overpriced nature, with a valuation discrepancy putting it at 48.2% above fair value. Given the subpar yield of 1.8%, and the mixed appeal of the surrounding neighbourhood, long-term gains may not materialize adequately for a sound investment. Not ideal for luxury market Given its significant deviation from fair value, this property is not suitable for the luxury market segment. Pricing at €1,550,000 does not align with the less favorable conditions and amenities of the location. Not ideal for student housing The pricing of this villa is excessive, making it unsuitable for student housing investments. With the neighbourhood rating at only 58/100, it lacks the necessary appeal to attract a student demographic seeking affordable accommodation options.
Tenant turnover risk A tenant stability score of 58/100 indicates a potential for high turnover rates, which could disrupt consistent cash flow and increase vacancy costs.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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