This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 2-bathroom house of 70 m², energy rating D. Located on rua Guerra Junqueiro, 18, Póvoa de Santo Adrião e Olival Basto parish, Odivelas municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: This property includes a versatile covered backyard ideal for conversion into a social area, while the storage room filled with natural light presents potential as a home office or studio.
The valuation. The asking price of €340,000 exceeds the fair value of €228,030 by €111,970, indicating the property is overpriced by 49.1%. This discrepancy suggests that potential investors should exercise caution and reassess their offers. Buy-to-flip angle. A flip strategy could entail renovating the property to enhance its appeal and market value; however, given its current state and condition score of 68/100, profitability may be challenging without significant investment. Buy-to-let angle. With an estimated gross yield of 3% and a potential rental income of around €850/month, the property targets long-term family rentals in a mixed neighbourhood, making it a feasible buy-and-hold investment despite its pricing issues.
Fair value modelled at €228,030 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €340,000 sits €111,970 (49.1%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €340,000 versus the rua Guerra Junqueiro, 18 area baseline of €182,025 (€2,600/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 68/100 is below the parish average, reducing fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €182,025, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €228,030 (€3,258/m²), a €111,970 (49.1%) gap versus the €340,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rua Guerra Junqueiro, 18 | Subject | €340,000 | €4,857 | — | 70 | 74 |
| rua António Maria Bravo, 2 | Active | €239,900 | €4,798 | 1.2% | 80 | 74 |
| Santa Clara · 86ccd9 | Active | €460,000 | €3,333 | 31.4% | 68 | 72 |
| Odivelas · a0cd17 | Active | €378,000 | €4,395 | 9.5% | 70 | 75 |
| Santa Clara · 6a91ca | Active | €395,000 | €2,582 | 46.8% | 78 | 73 |
| Median comp | €386,500 | €3,864 | 20.4% | 74 | 74 |
Long-term rental This property, priced at €340,000, significantly exceeds its fair value of €228,030, indicating it is not suitable for long-term rental investment. With a gross yield of only 3%, investors can expect limited income potential against a backdrop of rising costs. Buy-and-hold Given the €340,000 listing price compared to a fair value of €228,030, this property does not present a compelling buy-and-hold opportunity. The current 49.1% gap from fair value suggests that potential appreciation is unlikely to offset the excessive initial investment. Family rental The house's listing at €340,000 against a fair value of €228,030 indicates it is overpriced, making it an unsuitable choice for family rental prospects. With a neighbourhood rating of 74/100, the underlying fundamentals do not justify the high asking price, limiting attractiveness for families seeking rental options.
Economic Volatility Risk: The combined economic and tenant stability score of 70/100 suggests moderate risk, indicating potential fluctuations in rental income and occupancy rates.
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