This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
2-bedroom, 2-bathroom duplex of 168 m², built in 2009, energy rating B. Located on rua do Casalão, Sesimbra (Castelo) parish, Sesimbra municipality, Setúbal district. This duplex features two expansive terraces with unobstructed views of Sesimbra Castle and the sea, enhancing outdoor living and entertaining opportunities for residents.
The valuation. The asking price of €385,000 is significantly below the fair value of €489,616, representing a discount of €104,616 (21.4%). This positions the property as a rare opportunity for investors seeking value.
Fair value modelled at €489,616 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €385,000 sits €104,616 (21.4%) below — the upside to fair value.
Asking €385,000 versus the rua do Casalão area baseline of €378,330 (€2,252/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 76/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €378,330, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €489,616 (€2,914/m²), a €104,616 (21.4%) gap versus the €385,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rua do Casalão | Subject | €385,000 | €2,292 | — | 73 | 56 |
| rua Carlos César | Active | €395,000 | €1,975 | 13.8% | 70 | 63 |
| rua Baia de Sesimbra | Active | €675,000 | €4,141 | 80.7% | 78 | 59 |
| avenida Dom Manuel Martins | Active | €385,000 | €1,925 | 16.0% | 72 | 67 |
| rua Professor Joaquim Marques Pólvora, 19 | Active | €350,000 | €3,500 | 52.7% | 75 | 63 |
| Median comp | €390,000 | €2,738 | 19.5% | 74 | 63 |
Long-term rental The property in Sesimbra is currently listed at €385,000, presenting a fair value of €489,616, indicating a 21.4% gap that suggests it is underpriced. With the condition rating of 76/100 and moderate neighborhood score of 56/100, it shows potential for stable long-term returns in a growing suburban area. Buy-and-hold Acquiring this duplex at €385,000 offers a significant opportunity for capital appreciation, as the fair value is assessed at €489,616, pointing to its underpriced status. Given the property’s decent condition and reasonable proximity to Setúbal, it stands to gain value over time as the neighborhood develops further. Not ideal for luxury market This property, while underpriced, does not cater well to the luxury segment due to its moderate neighborhood rating and lack of upscale amenities. The overall economic context and tenant quality suggest it is better positioned for more budget-conscious renters. Not ideal for short-term vacation rental The location's proximity to industrial zones and average crime and school ratings detract from its attractiveness for short-term guests. As a result, the property is likely to yield less appeal and profitability in the vacation rental market despite its underpriced valuation.
Economic and Tenant Instability The combined economic and tenant stability scores of 55 each indicate potential volatility in revenue and occupancy, signaling a higher risk of fluctuating income.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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