This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
2-bedroom, 2-bathroom house of 196 m², built in 2018, energy rating B. Located on rua da Calçada, 10, Venda do Pinheiro e Santo Estêvão das Galés parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: This property boasts a mezzanine in the living room, enhancing its spatial dynamics, and includes a partially constructed pool, adding potential for outdoor leisure activities.
The valuation. The asking price of €449,500 is €58,364 (14.9%) above the fair value of €391,136, indicating that the property is overpriced. Buy-to-flip angle. A resale strategy aimed at quick renovations could be employed, but given the current oversupply, significant market appreciation is necessary for a profitable flip. Buy-to-let angle. Due to the estimated gross yield of 0%, the rental income strategy may not generate immediate cash flow, making this property less appealing for long-term rental investments.
Fair value modelled at €391,136 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €449,500 sits €58,364 (14.9%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €449,500 versus the rua da Calçada, 10 area baseline of €440,753 (€2,249/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 76/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price below the wider parish average — a hyper-local discount distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €440,753, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €391,136 (€1,996/m²), a €58,364 (14.9%) gap versus the €449,500 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rua da Calçada, 10 | Subject | €449,500 | €2,293 | — | 72 | 68 |
| rua Casal do Alfaiate, 3 | Active | €599,000 | €2,010 | 12.4% | 78 | 59 |
| praceta Florêncio Canas, 13 | Active | €385,000 | €2,637 | 15.0% | 80 | 62 |
| Malveira e São Miguel de Alcainça · da464a | Active | €449,500 | €1,763 | 23.1% | — | 62 |
| rua Várzea da Lapa | Active | €639,900 | €1,981 | 13.6% | 70 | 72 |
| Median comp | €524,250 | €1,996 | 13.0% | 78 | 62 |
Long-term rental This property is overpriced by 14.9%, making it a less appealing option for long-term rental investment. The yield of 0% gross suggests insufficient rental income to justify the initial outlay for potential investors. Family rental While the neighborhood offers good amenities for families, the property's fair value is notably lower than the listing price, indicating a poor investment opportunity. The lack of yield and the average condition rating further diminish its attractiveness for family rental purposes. Buy-and-hold Given its current price of €449,500, which exceeds the fair value by 14.9%, this property does not present a viable buy-and-hold investment at this time. Investors may find better opportunities, as the property does not promise adequate returns relative to its costs and the local market conditions.
Economic Downturn Risk With an economic stability score of 75/100, any downturn could negatively impact the property’s value, but the tenant stability score of 60/100 indicates a higher likelihood of tenant turnover, which could exacerbate financial strain during such a downturn.
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