This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 2-bathroom house of 220 m², built in 1954. Located Sesimbra (Castelo) parish, Sesimbra municipality, Setúbal district. Unique potential for customization with a small cellar and stable, set within 9,000 m² of land featuring sea views, ideal for renovation enthusiasts.
The valuation. The asking price of €419,000 is significantly below the fair value of €639,472, indicating an underpriced property by €220,472 (34.5%). This presents a compelling opportunity for investment. Buy-to-flip angle. Implementing a buy-to-flip strategy could yield favorable returns after renovations, given the home’s current condition at 35/100. Upgrades could lead to a profitable resale in a competitive market. Buy-to-let angle. With an estimated gross yield of 6.3%, generating approximately €2,200/month in rental income positions the property as an attractive long-term rental investment, catering to families seeking suburban living near Setúbal.
Fair value modelled at €639,472 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €419,000 sits €220,472 (34.5%) below — the upside to fair value.
Asking €419,000 versus the Sesimbra (Castelo), Sesimbra, Setúbal area baseline of €790,348 (€3,592/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 35/100 is below the parish average, reducing fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €790,348, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €639,472 (€2,907/m²), a €220,472 (34.5%) gap versus the €419,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sesimbra (Castelo) · 096f17 | Subject | €419,000 | €1,905 | — | 30 | 54 |
| Sesimbra (Castelo) · 09019c | Active | €425,000 | €2,322 | 21.9% | — | 64 |
| Sesimbra (Castelo) · 023d17 | Active | €589,000 | €1,753 | 8.0% | 64 | 60 |
| rua do Casalinho | Active | €399,000 | €2,891 | 51.8% | 65 | 66 |
| travessa Air | Active | €425,000 | €3,320 | 74.3% | 70 | 57 |
| Median comp | €425,000 | €2,607 | 36.9% | 65 | 62 |
Long-term rental The property presents a strong opportunity for long-term rental, offering a gross yield of 6.3% in a suburban area with a fair value gap of 34.5%. With a condition rating of 35/100, renovation potential could further enhance value, making it appealing to stable renters. Family rental The spacious 3-bed layout and suburban location make this property ideal for family rental, targeting tenants looking for more space near Setúbal. The area's 54/100 neighborhood score indicates a need for improvement in amenities, but with the significant undervaluation reflected in the fair value, it remains an attractive option for families seeking affordability. Not ideal for luxury market Due to its current condition rating of 35/100 and the suburban context, this property does not align with luxury market expectations. The fair valuation highlights a potential void in premium offerings that this house cannot satisfy. Not ideal for short-term vacation rental Given the suburban characteristics and industrial influences, this property is not suitable for short-term vacation rentals. Its tenant quality and neighborhood score suggest a less transient demographic, making it more fitting for longer residential stays.
Economic Vulnerability The property is at risk due to a relatively low economic stability score of 60/100, indicating potential fluctuations in market conditions that could adversely affect property value and rental income. Tenant Risk With a tenant stability score of 55/100, there is a significant chance of tenant turnover and potential vacancy periods that could lead to unreliable cash flow.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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