This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 2-bathroom house of 181 m², built in 1998, energy rating C. Located Carvoeira parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: This property includes two versatile rooms on the ground floor that can serve as offices or storage, perfect for adapting to various lifestyle needs.
The valuation. The asking price of €650,000 is above fair value at €593,996, representing a premium of €56,004 (9.4%). Verdict: fair.
Fair value modelled at €593,996 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €650,000 sits €56,004 (9.4%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €650,000 versus the Carvoeira, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €616,740 (€3,407/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 75/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price below the wider parish average — a hyper-local discount distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €616,740, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €593,996 (€3,282/m²), a €56,004 (9.4%) gap versus the €650,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carvoeira · 76b07b | Subject | €650,000 | €3,591 | — | 68 | 66 |
| rua da Mina, 33 | Active | €650,000 | €3,963 | 10.4% | 72 | 59 |
| Ericeira · 3d98f9 | Active | €990,000 | €3,173 | 11.6% | 65 | 58 |
| Ericeira · 627088 | Active | €650,000 | €2,863 | 20.3% | 75 | 65 |
| Ericeira · a79df2 | Active | €560,000 | €4,956 | 38.0% | 74 | 58 |
| Median comp | €650,000 | €3,568 | 0.6% | 73 | 59 |
Long-term rental The property offers a gross yield of 3.7%, which can generate stable cash flow in the long run. However, with a fair value of €593,996, the asking price of €650,000 suggests the investment may not provide exceptional value for long-term returns. Family rental Considering the suburban location typical of Greater Lisbon, this property may appeal to families seeking longer-term accommodation, benefiting from local amenities. Nevertheless, the gap between the listing price and fair value indicates it may not be the most attractive option on the market for family rentals. Buy-and-hold With a condition score of 75/100, the property is relatively well-maintained, which is beneficial for a buy-and-hold strategy. Yet, the fair value of €593,996 compared to the asking price highlights that the property is fairly priced, limiting potential appreciation in a longer-term hold scenario.
Economic Vulnerability Given the economic stability score of 65/100, there is a risk that potential downturns in the local economy could negatively affect property value and rental income.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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