This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 1-bathroom house of 200 m², built in 1980, energy rating D. Located Carvoeira parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. Notable Features: The property includes a private terrace ideal for outdoor gatherings and features a garage and storeroom with potential for functional upgrades despite their current condition.
The valuation. The listing price of €445,000 is significantly below the fair value of €678,082, representing a discount of €233,082 (34.4%). This presents an opportunity for investors to acquire an underpriced asset in Carvoeira, Mafra.
Fair value modelled at €678,082 from 5 comparable sales in the area. Asking €445,000 sits €233,082 (34.4%) below — the upside to fair value.
Asking €445,000 versus the Carvoeira, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €756,722 (€3,784/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 63/100 is below the parish average, reducing fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price below the wider parish average — a hyper-local discount distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €756,722, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €678,082 (€3,390/m²), a €233,082 (34.4%) gap versus the €445,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carvoeira · 0ac8c4 | Subject | €445,000 | €2,225 | — | 55 | 58 |
| Carvoeira · f10bb0 | Active | €400,000 | €2,759 | 24.0% | — | 64 |
| Carvoeira · a80a6e | Active | €650,000 | €3,591 | 61.4% | — | 61 |
| rua da Mina, 33 | Active | €650,000 | €3,963 | 78.1% | 72 | 59 |
| rua dos Descobrimentos S / N | Active | €990,000 | €3,390 | 52.4% | 68 | 61 |
| Median comp | €650,000 | €3,491 | 56.9% | 70 | 61 |
Long-term rental The property in Carvoeira, Mafra presents a compelling opportunity for long-term rental investment, with a gross yield of 5.5% and a current listing price significantly below its fair value by 34.4%. Given the suburban location with access to Lisbon, tenant demand is likely to remain strong, benefiting from the area's decent amenities and housing market. Family rental This property stands out for family rentals, as the spacious 200m² layout is suitable for growing households seeking proximity to urban centers. The valuation gap of 34.4% compared to fair value indicates favorable conditions for delivering solid rental returns in a neighbourhood that supports family-oriented amenities, despite its moderate condition rating. Luxury market While the property offers attractive space, it is not well-positioned for the luxury market due to its condition rating of 63/100 and a neighbourhood score of 58/100. These factors suggest that buyers looking for high-end finishes and exclusive locales may not find this property appealing. Short-term vacation rental The property’s current state and location do not align with the expectations of the short-term vacation rental market, where demand typically targets more upscale or tourist-friendly listings. The average neighbourhood rating of 58/100 indicates a lack of premium draw, making it less ideal for a successful vacation rental investment. Student housing This property is not suited for student housing as the suburban location does not provide the immediate access to educational institutions that students often prioritize. Additionally, its condition and amenities may not meet the standards that attract student tenants looking for comfortable living arrangements.
Tenant turnover risk With both economic and tenant stability scores at 60/100, there is a significant risk of tenant turnover affecting rental income and overall property performance.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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