This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 2-bathroom duplex of 145 m², energy rating B. Located on praça Espanha, Avenidas Novas parish, Lisbon municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: This duplex features custom cabinetry and modern amenities, along with a dedicated storage room on the ground floor for added convenience.
The valuation. The asking price of €1,690,000 is significantly above the fair value of €642,158, representing an overpriced status of €1,047,842 (62.0%). This discrepancy suggests that the property is not a viable investment option. Buy-to-flip angle. A buy-to-flip strategy would entail renovating this high-quality duplex, though the current price point would require substantial value-adding renovations to achieve an adequate profit margin upon resale. Buy-to-let angle. With an estimated gross yield of 1.7% (~€2,394/month), investing for rental income in this property could provide low returns, limiting its attractiveness for long-term buy-and-hold strategies in the current market.
Fair value modelled at €642,158 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €1,690,000 sits €1,047,842 (62.0%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €1,690,000 versus the praça Espanha area baseline of €830,560 (€5,728/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 81/100 (Condition 78 · Materials 85 · Room dimensions 80). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 75/100 (Housing Market 85 · Amenities 80 · Economic 90 · Tenant Quality 70). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
praça Espanha
Area baseline €830,560 + condition +€14,047 + location +€57,101 = modelled fair value of €642,158 (€4,429/m²), a €1,047,842 (62.0%) gap versus the €1,690,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| praça Espanha | Subject | €1,690,000 | €11,655 | — | 78 | 75 |
| rua do Centro Cultural, 10 | Active | €1,200,000 | €4,528 | 61.1% | 78 | 82 |
| rua Maestro Frederico de Freitas | Active | €870,000 | €5,118 | 56.1% | 75 | 72 |
| rua Pedro Monjardino, 12 | Active | €885,000 | €5,299 | 54.5% | 72 | 81 |
| rua do Arco da Graça | Active | €670,000 | €4,891 | 58.0% | 77 | 80 |
| Median comp | €877,500 | €5,005 | 57.1% | 76 | 81 |
Long-term rental The property’s high listing price of €1,690,000 significantly exceeds its fair value of €642,158, indicating that it is overpriced by 62.0%. With a gross yield of only 1.7%, this investment would struggle to deliver satisfactory returns in the long-term rental market. Buy-and-hold Investing in this 4-bed duplex as a buy-and-hold strategy is not advisable due to its stark overvaluation, with a gap to fair value of 62.0%. The low yield of 1.7% suggests minimal cash flow, making it less attractive for long-term appreciation in a still-developing neighborhood. Short-term vacation rental Despite the potential for short-term rentals in Lisbon's affluent districts, the listing price of €1,690,000 presents a significant barrier as it is overpriced in relation to the fair market value of €642,158. Additionally, the modest 1.7% yield may not sufficiently cover operating costs, limiting the profitability of this investment strategy.
Economic Impact Risk With an economic stability score of 90/100, the risk lies in a potential downturn that could affect the tenant stability score of 70/100, indicating that tenants may not remain in the property during economic fluctuations.
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