This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 3-bathroom house of 153 m², built in 2010, energy rating B. Located Carvalhal parish, Grândola municipality, Setúbal district. Noteworthy Features: The property includes a versatile room ideal for an office and a private garden of 57 m² for outdoor relaxation, enhancing its functional living space.
The valuation. The asking price of €850,000 is significantly above the fair value of €265,005, presenting an overvaluation of €584,995 (68.8%). As such, this property is considered overpriced and may not yield a profitable investment unless substantial renegotiation occurs.
Fair value modelled at €265,005 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €850,000 sits €584,995 (68.8%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €850,000 versus the Carvalhal, Grândola, Setúbal area baseline of €515,151 (€3,367/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 85/100 (Condition 81 · Materials 88 · Room dimensions 86). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 53/100 (Housing Market 40 · Amenities 40 · Economic 45 · Tenant Quality 55). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Carvalhal, Grândola, Setúbal
Area baseline €515,151 + condition +€19,125 + location +€2,916 = modelled fair value of €265,005 (€1,732/m²), a €584,995 (68.8%) gap versus the €850,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carvalhal · 6ebbe5 | Subject | €850,000 | €5,556 | — | 81 | 53 |
| alameda de Troia S / N | Active | €950,000 | €5,975 | 7.5% | 80 | 51 |
| rua 2 Sul | Active | €830,000 | €5,461 | 1.7% | 80 | 51 |
| alameda do Zambujeiro | Active | €845,000 | €4,333 | 22.0% | 73 | 49 |
| Carvalhal · 0dcbbb | Active | €1,480,000 | €11,473 | 106.5% | 80 | 45 |
| Median comp | €897,500 | €5,718 | 2.9% | 80 | 50 |
Long-term rental The property has a significant gap from its fair value, indicating that at €850,000 it is overpriced, leading to potential challenges in achieving sustainable long-term rental yields. With a gross yield of only 3.2% and a neighbourhood score of 53/100, investment returns could be disappointing over time. Buy-and-hold Investing in this property as a buy-and-hold strategy is questionable due to its overpricing of €850,000 compared to the fair value of €265,005, suggesting limited capital appreciation potential. The condition rating of 85/100 may be appealing, but the overall economics in the rural Alentejo context do not support a prudent long-term investment.
Economic Vulnerability With an economic stability score of 45/100, there is a significant risk of market downturns affecting property values and rental income.
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