This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 2-bathroom duplex of 140 m², built in 1959, energy rating D. Located Alvalade parish, Lisbon municipality, Lisbon district. This duplex features a recently renovated facade and roof, ensuring both aesthetic appeal and improved insulation in a prime Alvalade location.
The valuation. The asking price of €745,000 is significantly above the fair value of €254,001, indicating an overvaluation of €490,999 (65.9%). This price does not reflect the underlying market fundamentals. Buy-to-flip angle. The buy-to-flip strategy for this property hinges on leveraging its high-quality finishes to attract investors, aiming for a swift resale at a premium after minor enhancements. This could potentially yield a notable profit given the existing market conditions. Buy-to-let angle. The buy-to-let strategy focuses on the estimated rental income of €1,800/month, resulting in a gross yield of 2.9%. Given the location's proximity to Lisbon, stable long-term rental demand from families could optimize returns.
Fair value modelled at €254,001 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €745,000 sits €490,999 (65.9%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €745,000 versus the Alvalade, Lisbon, Lisbon area baseline of €717,220 (€5,123/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 78/100 (Condition 75 · Materials 82 · Room dimensions 77). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 78/100 (Housing Market 85 · Amenities 75 · Economic 80 · Tenant Quality 70). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Alvalade, Lisbon, Lisbon
Area baseline €717,220 + condition +€6,781 + location +€24,900 = modelled fair value of €254,001 (€1,814/m²), a €490,999 (65.9%) gap versus the €745,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvalade · 9387d9 | Subject | €745,000 | €5,321 | — | 75 | 78 |
| Alvalade · 001685 | Active | €1,090,000 | €7,032 | 32.1% | 75 | 84 |
| Penha de França · 001bd8 | Active | €575,000 | €5,088 | 4.4% | 76 | 82 |
| rua Silveira Peixoto, 13 | Active | €410,000 | €4,457 | 16.3% | 75 | 81 |
| alameda e Arroios | Active | €575,000 | €5,088 | 4.4% | 72 | 81 |
| Median comp | €575,000 | €5,088 | 4.4% | 75 | 82 |
Long-term rental The current price of €745,000 creates a significant gap of 65.9% compared to the fair value of €254,001, which indicates that the investment may not yield satisfactory returns over time. Additionally, the gross yield of 2.9% is below expectations for a long-term rental strategy in Alvalade, suggesting that this acquisition is not financially prudent. Family rental The duplex is listed at a price considerably above its fair value, limiting its potential for generating attractive cash flow for family tenants. Even with a decent neighborhood score of 78/100, the inflated price does not justify family rental prospects in this market. Buy-and-hold With a purchase price at €745,000, significantly above the fair value of €254,001, the buy-and-hold strategy appears unfeasible as the expected returns are diminished. The property's condition and neighborhood ratings do not compensate for the overpriced listing, making it a less than ideal long-term hold.
Tenant turnover risk With a tenant stability score of 70/100, there is a significant risk of turnover, potentially leading to vacant periods and decreased rental income.
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