This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
2-bedroom, 3-bathroom house of 100 m². Located on avenida Marginal, Carcavelos e Parede parish, Cascais municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy features: The property includes a well-designed 98 m² private garden, perfect for outdoor dining and recreation, and a luxurious main suite with a walk-in closet. Location: Situated in the highly sought-after Murtal area, it offers convenient access to schools and the Cascais coastline.
The valuation. The asking price of €650,000 exceeds the fair value of €546,159 by €103,841 (16.0%), indicating that the property is overpriced. This significant gap suggests caution for potential investors seeking value. Buy-to-flip angle. A buy-to-flip strategy may be challenging due to the property's overpriced status, as resale value must exceed the purchase cost significantly. Investors should consider cosmetic improvements to enhance attractiveness for buyers aiming for a quick sale. Buy-to-let angle. The estimated monthly rental income of €1,354 translates to a gross yield of 2.5%, which is relatively low given the market conditions. However, the property's location and quality may attract long-term tenants, providing stable income despite the modest yield.
Fair value modelled at €546,159 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €650,000 sits €103,841 (16.0%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €650,000 versus the avenida Marginal area baseline of €477,700 (€4,777/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 81/100 (Condition 76 · Materials 85 · Room dimensions 81). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 71/100 (Housing Market 75 · Amenities 70 · Economic 80 · Tenant Quality 60). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
avenida Marginal
Area baseline €477,700 + condition +€9,688 + location +€41,572 = modelled fair value of €546,159 (€5,462/m²), a €103,841 (16.0%) gap versus the €650,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| avenida Marginal | Subject | €650,000 | €6,500 | — | 76 | 71 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 49b88d | Active | €880,000 | €7,333 | 12.8% | 72 | 73 |
| praceta Nova do Zambujal | Active | €699,000 | €4,369 | 32.8% | 74 | 72 |
| São Domingos de Rana · 65a3e2 | Active | €1,075,000 | €6,006 | 7.6% | 80 | 76 |
| São Domingos de Rana · 4a7ed7 | Active | €572,500 | €5,158 | 20.7% | 72 | 71 |
| Median comp | €789,500 | €5,582 | 14.1% | 73 | 73 |
Long-term rental The property is currently listed at €650,000, which is 16% above its fair value of €546,159, indicating it may struggle to attract long-term tenants. Additionally, the gross yield of 2.5% reflects a less competitive return in a suburban market that typically demands stronger financial performance. Family rental At a listing price that exceeds its fair value, this property may deter families seeking affordable options in the Carcavelos e Parede area. While the moderate tenant stability is an asset, the yield of 2.5% does not justify the premium price, placing this strategy at risk of underperformance. Buy-and-hold Investing in this property as a buy-and-hold strategy is questionable due to its 16% premium over fair value, which could hinder capital growth potential. With a yield of only 2.5%, the long-term financial viability of this investment is undermined, making it less attractive for foundational wealth-building. Not ideal for: Student housing, Luxury market
Tenant turnover risk High tenant turnover is a concern given the tenant stability score of 60/100, which may lead to increased vacancy rates and operational costs.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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