This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 5-bathroom villa of 184 m². Located Cascais e Estoril parish, Cascais municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: The villa boasts a fully equipped outdoor kitchen and multiple private terraces, enhancing its appeal for outdoor dining and relaxation in Estoril's sunny climate.
The valuation. The asking price of €2,880,000 is significantly above the fair value of €1,002,823, representing an overvaluation of €1,877,177 (65.2%). This property is overpriced in the current market. Buy-to-flip angle. A buy-to-flip strategy is not advisable given its asking price, as the potential resale gain is unlikely to justify the investment based on current market conditions. Buy-to-let angle. With an estimated rental income of €3,360 per month, the gross yield sits at 1.4%, rendering the buy-to-let strategy less appealing due to low returns in contrast to high initial investments.
Fair value modelled at €1,002,823 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €2,880,000 sits €1,877,177 (65.2%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €2,880,000 versus the Cascais e Estoril, Cascais, Lisbon area baseline of €878,968 (€4,777/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 88/100 (Condition 85 · Materials 90 · Room dimensions 85). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 69/100 (Housing Market 70 · Amenities 65 · Economic 70 · Tenant Quality 65). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Cascais e Estoril, Cascais, Lisbon
Area baseline €878,968 + condition +€23,000 + location +€69,207 = modelled fair value of €1,002,823 (€5,450/m²), a €1,877,177 (65.2%) gap versus the €2,880,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cascais e Estoril · 9113be | Subject | €2,880,000 | €15,652 | — | 85 | 69 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 82c6f9 | Active | €3,300,000 | €10,784 | 31.1% | 80 | 69 |
| avenida Dom Nuno Álvares Pereira S / N | Active | €3,950,000 | €14,260 | 8.9% | 87 | 71 |
| rua Almirante Manuel Pereira Crespo | Active | €2,750,000 | €9,964 | 36.3% | 80 | 72 |
| Alcabideche · 23f3ca | Active | €8,000,000 | €22,346 | 42.8% | 78 | 73 |
| Median comp | €3,625,000 | €12,522 | 20.0% | 80 | 72 |
Long-term rental The property is overpriced at €2,880,000 given its fair value of €1,002,823, leading to a significant gap of 65.2%. With a gross yield of only 1.4%, this investment is unlikely to generate adequate returns for a long-term rental strategy. Buy-and-hold The 4-bed villa in Cascais e Estoril is priced significantly above its fair value, indicating that holding this property may not yield profitable appreciation. Investors should be cautious as the high entry cost combined with a low yield diminishes its attractiveness for a buy-and-hold approach. Family rental While the property is situated in a reasonably safe suburban area, it is overpriced compared to its fair value. The combination of an expensive price point and a still relatively low yield could deter potential tenants looking for family accommodations in a competitive rental market.
Economic Dependency Risk Overall economic stability is rated at 70/100, suggesting potential vulnerability to economic downturns that could affect tenant stability, which is rated at 65/100, indicating a risk of higher vacancy rates or rent defaults.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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