This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 3-bathroom apartment of 132 m² on the 3rd floor, built in 2017, energy rating B. Located on rua Ninho do Mocho, 16, Venda do Pinheiro e Santo Estêvão das Galés parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. Property Insight: This apartment includes a spacious balcony off one bedroom, featuring a durable, wall-mounted stainless steel clothesline for convenience and practicality. Location Highlight: Located in a tranquil cul-de-sac, it ensures privacy while being minutes away from necessary amenities and transport links.
The valuation. The asking price of €589,000 is significantly above the fair value of €308,939, resulting in being overpriced by €280,061 or 47.5%. This disparity suggests reconsideration for potential buyers. Buy-to-flip angle. A resale or wholesale strategy could be employed, targeting buyers willing to invest in a desirable suburban location. However, the high asking price limits potential profit margins given the current market conditions. Buy-to-let angle. With an estimated rental income of €1,325/month, the gross yield stands at 2.7%. This yield, while modest, aligns with a long-term rental strategy, tapping into the family rental market due to the apartment's quality and neighborhood.
Fair value modelled at €308,939 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €589,000 sits €280,061 (47.5%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €589,000 versus the rua Ninho do Mocho, 16 area baseline of €411,444 (€3,117/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 83/100 (Condition 80 · Materials 85 · Room dimensions 80). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 59/100 (Housing Market 60 · Amenities 55 · Economic 60 · Tenant Quality 60). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
rua Ninho do Mocho, 16
Area baseline €411,444 + condition +€15,469 + location +€10,198 = modelled fair value of €308,939 (€2,340/m²), a €280,061 (47.5%) gap versus the €589,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rua Ninho do Mocho, 16 | Subject | €589,000 | €4,462 | — | 80 | 59 |
| rua do Pinhal, 6C | Active | €525,000 | €3,182 | 28.7% | 70 | 63 |
| rua Eurico Rodrigues Lima, 3H | Active | €475,000 | €2,987 | 33.0% | 75 | 69 |
| alameda Professor Doutor Leite Pinto | Active | €495,000 | €2,781 | 37.7% | 70 | 69 |
| rua José Poman, 5 | Active | €460,000 | €3,566 | 20.1% | 72 | 71 |
| Median comp | €485,000 | €3,085 | 30.9% | 71 | 69 |
Long-term rental The 3-bed apartment is overpriced at €589,000, substantially exceeding its fair value of €308,939, leading to a gap of 47.5%. Given the low gross yield of 2.7% and a neighborhood rating of 59/100, this property may not present an attractive long-term rental opportunity. Family rental With a fair value significantly lower than the asking price, the apartment at €589,000 is overpriced relative to its true market worth of €308,939. The 2.7% gross yield and modest neighborhood characteristics suggest limited potential for attracting family renters at this price point. Buy-and-hold The property is currently priced at €589,000, which is 47.5% above its fair value of €308,939, indicating it is overpriced in terms of long-term investment potential. The gross yield of 2.7% is relatively low, combined with a neighborhood score of 59/100, suggesting that holding this asset may not yield satisfactory returns in the future.
Economic and Tenant Instability A score of 60/100 in both economic stability and tenant stability indicates a potential risk of fluctuating rental income and high tenant turnover, which could affect long-term profitability.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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