This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 3-bathroom house of 179 m², built in 2005, energy rating E. Located on estrada do Vale Bravo, 18, Lourinhã e Atalaia parish, Lourinhã municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: The property includes a jacuzzi and boasts stunning sea views from multiple areas, enhancing both relaxation and aesthetic appeal in a desirable coastal setting.
The valuation. The asking price of €650,000 sits €77,158 above fair value at €572,842, indicating that the property is overpriced. This discrepancy reflects a significant markup not justified by the local market conditions. Buy-to-flip angle. A buy-to-flip strategy would require substantial renovations or staging to increase market appeal, yet the current asking price does not leave much room for profitable resale. Investors may face challenges recouping their investment given the property's high entry cost. Buy-to-let angle. With an estimated gross yield of 3.3%, generating approximately €1,788/month in rent may provide a steady cash flow stream for long-term rental investors. However, the property’s location and the mixed neighborhood rating could limit tenant demand.
Fair value modelled at €572,842 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €650,000 sits €77,158 (13.5%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €650,000 versus the estrada do Vale Bravo, 18 area baseline of €521,023 (€2,911/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 75/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €521,023, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €572,842 (€3,200/m²), a €77,158 (13.5%) gap versus the €650,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| estrada do Vale Bravo, 18 | Subject | €650,000 | €3,631 | — | 70 | 59 |
| Lourinhã e Atalaia · bf2989 | Active | €765,000 | €3,883 | 6.9% | 75 | 43 |
| Lourinhã e Atalaia · 49b907 | Active | €900,000 | €3,797 | 4.6% | 80 | 52 |
| rua João Luís de Moura, 17 | Active | €695,000 | €2,603 | 28.3% | 76 | 55 |
| Lourinhã e Atalaia · 1e632b | Active | €925,000 | €5,000 | 37.7% | 80 | 54 |
| Median comp | €832,500 | €3,840 | 5.7% | 78 | 53 |
Long-term rental Due to the property being overpriced at €650,000 compared to a fair value of €572,842, long-term rental potential yields a modest gross yield of 3.3%, which may not adequately compensate for the initial investment risk. Additionally, the limited local economy and educational infrastructure may hinder tenant quality and demand in the long term. Buy-and-hold Investing in this property as a buy-and-hold asset becomes challenging given its price position above fair value, indicating it may not appreciate as expected in a predominantly agricultural economy. The neighbourhood's average condition and lower tenant quality ratings further suggest that capital growth could be constrained, making this a risky proposition over time.
Economic Vulnerability The economic stability score of 45/100 indicates a significant risk of market fluctuations potentially impacting rental income and property value.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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