This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
5-bedroom, 6-bathroom house of 502 m², energy rating A+. Located Cascais e Estoril parish, Cascais municipality, Lisbon district. This property features an approved project for a swimming pool, enhancing the outdoor living space amidst a landscaped garden with diverse vegetation that ensures utmost privacy.
The valuation. The asking price of €5,850,000 is significantly above fair value at €4,028,113, indicating an overpriced situation by €1,821,887 (45.2%). This discrepancy suggests it may be challenging to achieve desired returns. Buy-to-flip angle. A resale strategy could target a luxury market despite the current price, aiming for a higher listing based on the home's upscale features and stylish design. Profit potential, however, may be limited due to the initial overvaluation. Buy-to-let angle. With an estimated gross yield of 2% from monthly rental income of €9,750, the property presents a modest long-term investment option for generating steady cash flow. However, rental returns may not justify the high investment cost.
Fair value modelled at €4,028,113 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €5,850,000 sits €1,821,887 (45.2%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €5,850,000 versus the Cascais e Estoril, Cascais, Lisbon area baseline of €3,401,009 (€6,775/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 88/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €3,401,009, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €4,028,113 (€8,024/m²), a €1,821,887 (45.2%) gap versus the €5,850,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cascais e Estoril · 190690 | Subject | €5,850,000 | €11,653 | — | 85 | 76 |
| Alcabideche · 93734a | Active | €4,125,000 | €8,505 | 27.0% | 90 | 79 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 652f60 | Active | €3,500,000 | €7,543 | 35.3% | 85 | 71 |
| Alcabideche · b32944 | Active | €3,650,000 | €6,797 | 41.7% | 90 | 73 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 1e615b | Active | €6,000,000 | €11,538 | 1.0% | 80 | 75 |
| Median comp | €3,887,500 | €8,024 | 31.1% | 88 | 74 |
Long-term rental The property is priced at €5,850,000, which is 45.2% above its fair value of €4,028,113, indicating that it is overpriced. With a gross yield of only 2%, the investment will likely struggle to generate satisfactory returns in the long term. Family rental Currently listed at €5,850,000, this property exceeds its fair value of €4,028,113 by 45.2%, rendering it overpriced in the current market. Additionally, despite the property's condition rating of 88/100, the expected rental income does not align with the high purchase price, limiting its appeal to families. Buy-and-hold At a listing price of €5,850,000, the property is deemed overpriced at 45.2% above its fair value of €4,028,113. While the suburban location benefits from lower crime rates, the low yield of 2% suggests that the buy-and-hold strategy may not deliver the desired financial benefits given the high entry cost.
Tenant turnover risk High tenant turnover due to a tenant stability score of 70/100 can lead to increased vacancy rates and associated costs over time.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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