This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 6-bathroom villa of 358 m², built in 1989, energy rating A. Located Carcavelos e Parede parish, Cascais municipality, Lisbon district. This villa features an expansive outdoor patio with a built-in barbecue, perfect for entertaining, and boasts a large office space with breathtaking sea views.
The valuation. The asking price of €2,370,000 exceeds the fair value of €1,988,805 by €381,195, or 19.2%. This property is considered overpriced based on current market trends.
Fair value modelled at €1,988,805 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €2,370,000 sits €381,195 (19.2%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €2,370,000 versus the Carcavelos e Parede, Cascais, Lisbon area baseline of €1,895,595 (€5,295/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 81/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price below the wider parish average — a hyper-local discount distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €1,895,595, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €1,988,805 (€5,555/m²), a €381,195 (19.2%) gap versus the €2,370,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carcavelos e Parede · efdc92 | Subject | €2,370,000 | €6,620 | — | 80 | 78 |
| rua Beatriz Costa, 4 | Active | €2,495,000 | €6,269 | 5.3% | 77 | 76 |
| rua Cidade de Braga S / N | Active | €2,555,000 | €9,428 | 42.4% | 82 | 75 |
| São Domingos de Rana · cfe031 | Active | €1,500,000 | €5,338 | 19.4% | 82 | 70 |
| Carcavelos e Parede · 1e60a1 | Active | €1,695,000 | €4,346 | 34.3% | 75 | 72 |
| Median comp | €2,095,000 | €5,804 | 12.3% | 80 | 74 |
Long-term rental The villa in Carcavelos e Parede, listed at €2,370,000, is overpriced relative to its fair value of €1,988,805, presenting a gap of 19.2%. With a gross yield of only 2.7%, this investment is unlikely to generate adequate returns for a long-term rental strategy. Buy-and-hold Given the villa's current market listing of €2,370,000 and a fair value of €1,988,805, it is essential to recognize the 19.2% premium over the fair market price. This elevated pricing diminishes the potential benefits of a buy-and-hold strategy, especially since the yield is only 2.7%. Family rental At a listing price of €2,370,000, significantly higher than the fair value of €1,988,805, the property is seen as overpriced, with a 19.2% gap that is concerning for family rental prospects. The modest gross yield of 2.7% does not support the financial viability for a family-oriented rental strategy, highlighting the investment's challenges in the current market environment.
Potential Tenant Turnover Risk The combination of an economic stability score of 80/100 and a tenant stability score of 75/100 suggests a moderate likelihood of tenant turnover that may affect cash flow.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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