This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
2-bedroom, 1-bathroom duplex of 91 m², built in 1995, energy rating C. Located Ferrel parish, Peniche municipality, Leiria district. Noteworthy Features: The duplex includes a charming terrace with stunning views of Baleal, perfect for sunset evenings, and a cozy stove that enhances year-round comfort.**
The valuation. The asking price of €369,700 is significantly above fair value, which is estimated at €255,586, resulting in an overpriced status of €114,114 or 44.6%. This reflects a notable disparity that prospective buyers should consider carefully.
Fair value modelled at €255,586 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €369,700 sits €114,114 (44.6%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €369,700 versus the Ferrel, Peniche, Leiria area baseline of €231,017 (€2,539/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 78/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price below the wider parish average — a hyper-local discount distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €231,017, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €255,586 (€2,809/m²), a €114,114 (44.6%) gap versus the €369,700 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferrel · 38b615 | Subject | €369,700 | €4,063 | — | 75 | 46 |
| Lourinhã e Atalaia · 6fbd01 | Active | €350,000 | €4,217 | 3.8% | 80 | 59 |
| Caldas da Rainha - Santo Onofre e Serra do Bouro · 143f6e | Active | €309,900 | €2,817 | 30.7% | 68 | 58 |
| rua Dona Luisa de Gusmão, 2 | Active | €305,000 | €2,440 | 39.9% | 78 | 49 |
| Lourinhã e Atalaia · 937126 | Active | €270,000 | €3,140 | 22.7% | 72 | 50 |
| Median comp | €307,450 | €2,979 | 26.7% | 75 | 54 |
Long-term rental The property at €369,700 is not an appealing long-term rental investment, as it is overpriced by 44.6% compared to its fair value of €255,586. With a gross yield of just 2.5% and a neighbourhood rating of 46/100, potential returns do not justify the steep price. Buy-and-hold Investing in this 2-bed duplex as a buy-and-hold asset is questionable due to its significant markup over fair value and low growth potential indicated by its 78/100 condition score combined with a neighbourhood rating of 46/100. The substantial price gap limits the likelihood of capturing appreciation that typically accompanies real estate investments over time. Family rental The duplex may attract families seeking long-term housing, but with its price being 44.6% higher than the fair value, it faces a challenging market moving forward. Coupled with a low gross yield of 2.5%, the property may struggle to meet family rental needs consistently in this rural context.
Economic and Tenant Risk The property has low economic stability (40/100) and tenant stability (50/100), indicating a significant risk of fluctuating rental income and potential vacancy issues.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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