This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
2-bedroom, 3-bathroom villa of 190 m². Located Cascais e Estoril parish, Cascais municipality, Lisbon district. Property Features: The villa features expansive glass walls that seamlessly integrate indoor and outdoor living, providing stunning views of the surrounding mature pine trees while allowing abundant natural light. Location Highlights: Located in the exclusive Quinta da Marinha South, the property offers not only privacy but also potential for future expansion in a highly sought-after residential area of Cascais.
The valuation. The asking price of €8,385,965 is significantly above the fair value of €1,460,060, representing an overprice of €6,925,905 (474.4%). This property is clearly overpriced and does not present a viable investment opportunity.
Fair value modelled at €1,460,060 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €8,385,965 sits €6,925,905 (474.4%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €8,385,965 versus the Cascais e Estoril, Cascais, Lisbon area baseline of €1,291,576 (€6,798/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 81/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €1,291,576, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €1,460,060 (€7,685/m²), a €6,925,905 (474.4%) gap versus the €8,385,965 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cascais e Estoril · 5da2bc | Subject | €8,385,965 | €44,137 | — | 75 | 68 |
| rua dos Navegantes S / N | Active | €675,000 | €9,000 | 79.6% | 80 | 65 |
| rua dos Navegantes | Active | €695,000 | €9,267 | 79.0% | 73 | 74 |
| rua Nossa Senhora dos Navegantes, 25 | Active | €650,000 | €7,222 | 83.6% | 74 | 63 |
| Alcabideche · 15e1b1 | Active | €1,850,000 | €6,336 | 85.6% | 72 | 75 |
| Median comp | €685,000 | €8,111 | 81.6% | 74 | 70 |
Long-term rental This 2-bed villa in Cascais e Estoril, listed at €8,385,965, presents a significant gap of 474.4% from its fair value of €1,460,060, indicating it is overpriced. With a gross yield of 0% and a neighbourhood rating of 68/100, the property does not align with the expectations for a profitable long-term rental investment. Buy-and-hold The excessive listing price of €8,385,965 compared to the fair value of €1,460,060 suggests that this villa is overpriced for a buy-and-hold strategy. Given the lack of yield and modest condition rating of 81/100, holding this asset would likely not yield satisfactory returns over time. Family rental With a listing price of €8,385,965 and a fair value assessment at €1,460,060, this property is significantly overpriced for a family rental strategy. The combination of 0% gross yield and a decent condition score indicates that potential family tenants may not find the value necessary to justify such high rental costs.
Potential Rental Income Volatility: With a tenant stability score of 65/100, there is a risk of inconsistent rental income due to potential turnover or tenant defaults impacting revenue.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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