This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
6-bedroom, 3-bathroom villa of 314 m², built in 2008, energy rating E. Located Ericeira parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: This villa boasts an award-winning design by ARX Portugal and offers exceptional integration of indoor spaces with the natural landscape through expansive window placements.
The valuation. The asking price of €2,450,000 significantly exceeds the fair value of €1,346,501, with a disparity of €1,103,499, or 82.0%. This indicates that the property is overpriced.
Fair value modelled at €1,346,501 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €2,450,000 sits €1,103,499 (82.0%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €2,450,000 versus the Ericeira, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €1,434,591 (€4,569/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 84/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price below the wider parish average — a hyper-local discount distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €1,434,591, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €1,346,501 (€4,288/m²), a €1,103,499 (82.0%) gap versus the €2,450,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ericeira · 83127d | Subject | €2,450,000 | €7,803 | — | 80 | 51 |
| Ericeira · 4d4182 | Active | €575,000 | €5,044 | 35.4% | 75 | 65 |
| Ericeira · 6a94ee | Active | €1,390,000 | €4,125 | 47.1% | 75 | 55 |
| rua Pinhal da Carrasqueira | Active | €739,000 | €4,452 | 42.9% | 75 | 61 |
| Mafra · 4b8f84 | Active | €840,000 | €3,559 | 54.4% | 80 | 53 |
| Median comp | €789,500 | €4,289 | 45.0% | 75 | 58 |
Buy-and-hold This 6-bed villa is overpriced at €2,450,000, especially considering its fair value of €1,346,501, indicating an 82.0% gap that significantly undermines potential long-term investment returns. With a low gross yield of 1.3% and a neighborhood rating of 51/100, the property lacks the necessary fundamentals for a buy-and-hold strategy to be successful. Family rental The villa's pricing of €2,450,000 does not align with its fair value of €1,346,501, reflecting a significant overpricing that makes it unsuitable for family rental prospects. The low yield of 1.3% combined with a neighborhood score of 51/100 suggest that attracting long-term family residents would be challenging and financially unviable. Not ideal for: Luxury market, Student housing, Short-term vacation rental.
Economic and Tenant Instability The economic stability score of 50/100 indicates a challenging market, while the tenant stability score of 55/100 suggests potential difficulties in maintaining long-term tenants, increasing the risk of vacancy and financial instability.
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