This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 4-bathroom villa of 359 m². Located Cascais e Estoril parish, Cascais municipality, Lisbon district. This villa boasts access to a private garden and swimming pool, enhancing outdoor living while situated in an exclusive condominium of just three homes.
The valuation. The asking price of €2,820,000 is slightly below the fair value of €2,829,765, sitting at just 0.3% under, indicating a fair valuation for potential buyers. Buy-to-flip angle. With potential for renovations, resale may target upper-tier buyers willing to pay a premium due to the villa's high-quality features and location. Buy-to-let angle. The estimated rental income of €5,875/month yields a gross return of 2.5%, appealing for long-term investments in Greater Lisbon's desirable suburban market.
Fair value modelled at €2,829,765 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €2,820,000 sits €9,765 (0.3%) below — the upside to fair value.
Asking €2,820,000 versus the Cascais e Estoril, Cascais, Lisbon area baseline of €2,374,049 (€6,613/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 83/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €2,374,049, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €2,829,765 (€7,882/m²), a €9,765 (0.3%) gap versus the €2,820,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cascais e Estoril · a803cd | Subject | €2,820,000 | €7,855 | — | 85 | 72 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 62297b | Active | €2,400,000 | €6,936 | 11.7% | 78 | 70 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 8314cd | Active | €1,280,000 | €7,529 | 4.1% | 75 | 71 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 190901 | Active | €2,470,000 | €11,542 | 46.9% | 88 | 65 |
| rua São José | Active | €1,400,000 | €8,235 | 4.8% | 75 | 67 |
| Median comp | €1,900,000 | €7,882 | 0.3% | 77 | 69 |
Long-term rental The property offers a gross yield of 2.5%, which aligns with the fair value assessment of €2,829,765, indicating stable long-term rental potential. Given the strong demand for housing in the Greater Lisbon area, this villa can provide consistent occupancy and reasonable returns. Family rental With a solid condition rating of 83/100 and a safe neighborhood score of 72/100, the villa is well-suited for families looking for a long-term residential solution. The location benefits from good employment opportunities and lower crime rates, making it an attractive choice for family tenants. Buy-and-hold Investing in this villa aligns with a buy-and-hold strategy, as it is likely to retain its value over the long term while offering modest income through rental yields. The stability of the locality, combined with its fair valuation, supports a long-term investment outlook without significant risk of depreciation.
Economic Vulnerability The economic stability score of 70/100 indicates a moderate risk of economic fluctuations that could negatively impact property value and rental income.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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