This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 4-bathroom house of 280 m², built in 2025, energy rating B. Located Alcabideche parish, Cascais municipality, Lisbon district. This property boasts a landscaped garden and a private pool, offering a serene outdoor space ideal for relaxation and entertaining.
The valuation. The asking price of €3,120,000 is significantly above the fair value of €2,721,212, representing an overpricing of €398,788, or 14.7%. This suggests that potential buyers may face challenges in achieving satisfactory returns on investment. Buy-to-flip angle. A buy-to-flip strategy would focus on enhancing the property’s appeal through targeted renovations, though the current overvaluation may limit potential profit margins in a resale market. Quick sales would need careful pricing strategies to attract buyers rapidly. Buy-to-let angle. Though the property has a gross yield of 2.7% based on an estimated rental income of €7,020 per month, the elevated purchase price could restrict cash flow opportunities for long-term investors looking for stable returns. High-quality finishes may attract family rentals, but cost considerations prevail.
Fair value modelled at €2,721,212 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €3,120,000 sits €398,788 (14.7%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €3,120,000 versus the Alcabideche, Cascais, Lisbon area baseline of €2,341,621 (€8,363/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 88/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €2,341,621, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €2,721,212 (€9,719/m²), a €398,788 (14.7%) gap versus the €3,120,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcabideche · a80c39 | Subject | €3,120,000 | €11,143 | — | 85 | 79 |
| Cascais e Estoril · cfe14e | Active | €2,600,000 | €11,818 | 6.1% | 80 | 74 |
| avenida Castelhana, 7 | Active | €2,600,000 | €11,818 | 6.1% | 80 | 80 |
| Alcabideche · 6a948f | Active | €1,200,000 | €7,317 | 34.3% | 86 | 74 |
| rua de São Vicente | Active | €3,200,000 | €7,619 | 31.6% | 78 | 65 |
| Median comp | €2,600,000 | €9,719 | 12.8% | 80 | 74 |
Long-term rental The property in Alcabideche is not well-suited for long-term rental as it is currently overpriced at €3,120,000, creating a significant gap of 14.7% above its fair value of €2,721,212. With a gross yield of only 2.7%, this investment is unlikely to generate adequate returns for landlords. Family rental Although the property is located in a family-oriented suburb close to Lisbon, its current price of €3,120,000 positions it above the fair value of €2,721,212, resulting in a 14.7% overpricing. The modest yield of 2.7% indicates it may not offer competitive financial benefits for attracting long-term family tenants. Buy-and-hold Investing in this property as a buy-and-hold strategy is challenging due to its overpriced listing of €3,120,000, which exceeds the fair value by 14.7%. The low gross yield of 2.7% further suggests that it may not be a wise financial decision for long-term appreciation in the current market context.
Economic downturn risk The property, despite a strong economic stability score of 80, may still face potential declines in rental income if local economic conditions shift negatively, impacting tenant retention and overall investment returns.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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