This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 3-bathroom villa of 194 m², built in 2002, energy rating B. Located Ericeira parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. The property features a spacious garden with automatic irrigation, ideal for outdoor gatherings, and is situated just 700 meters from the beach, promoting an active coastal lifestyle.
The valuation. The asking price of €800,000 is above the fair value of €776,743 by €23,257 (3.0%). This positions the property as fairly valued within the current market context.
Fair value modelled at €776,743 from 5 comparable sales in the area. Asking €800,000 sits €23,257 (3.0%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €800,000 versus the Ericeira, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €854,192 (€4,403/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 77/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price below the wider parish average — a hyper-local discount distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €854,192, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €776,743 (€4,004/m²), a €23,257 (3.0%) gap versus the €800,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ericeira · cc9ba6 | Subject | €800,000 | €4,124 | — | 73 | 58 |
| Carvoeira · 19f44a | Active | €800,000 | €4,000 | 3.0% | 78 | 57 |
| Mafra · 86ca50 | Active | €1,200,000 | €3,166 | 23.2% | 75 | 62 |
| Carvoeira · 4a45ed | Active | €1,045,000 | €4,004 | 2.9% | 80 | 64 |
| Carvoeira · 19f712 | Active | €800,000 | €4,444 | 7.8% | 72 | 55 |
| Median comp | €922,500 | €4,002 | 3.0% | 77 | 60 |
Long-term rental The property in Ericeira presents a stable 4% gross yield, making it suitable for long-term rental in a market where proximity to Lisbon boosts housing demand. However, with a fair value of €776,743, the asking price reflects a modest 3% gap from its fair value, indicating a reasonable investment perspective without significant upside potential. Value-add renovation With a condition score of 77/100, the villa has room for enhancement, providing an opportunity to increase its appeal and value through targeted renovations. The 3% gap from fair value suggests that while improvements could yield benefits, current price levels may restrict immediate profitability from such enhancements. Short-term vacation rental Given the fair valuation and a neighborhood quality score of 58/100, this property may not attract the same demand as premium vacation rentals, limiting its short-term rental revenue potential. The suburban character implies challenges in amenities and attractions, which are key to success in the vacation rental market. Luxury market The villa's pricing does not align with luxury market dynamics, as its neighborhood score reflects a more suburban character with average amenities. Thus, the property is unlikely to draw high-end buyers or renters who typically seek superior locations and exclusivity in their investments.
[Economic Concerns] With an economic stability score of 55/100, there is a risk that local economic challenges could lead to declining property values or lower tenant demand, affecting long-term rental income.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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