This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
2-bedroom, 3-bathroom villa of 351 m². Located Carvalhal parish, Grândola municipality, Setúbal district. This villa provides exclusive direct beach access, allowing residents to immerse themselves in unspoiled natural beauty, along with five-star hotel services for an unparalleled living experience.
The valuation. The asking price of €3,350,000 exceeds the fair value of €1,679,632 by €1,670,368, marking it as overpriced at 99.4% of fair value. This suggests the property is unlikely to attract serious buyers at this price point.
Fair value modelled at €1,679,632 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €3,350,000 sits €1,670,368 (99.4%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €3,350,000 versus the Carvalhal, Grândola, Setúbal area baseline of €1,443,016 (€4,111/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 88/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €1,443,016, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €1,679,632 (€4,785/m²), a €1,670,368 (99.4%) gap versus the €3,350,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carvalhal · 57fd4f | Subject | €3,350,000 | €9,544 | — | 90 | 46 |
| alameda do Zambujeiro, 15 | Active | €780,000 | €4,785 | 49.9% | 85 | 44 |
| urbanização Soltroia | Active | €895,000 | €7,716 | 19.2% | 84 | 51 |
| estrada Nacional, 253, 1 | Active | €350,000 | €3,097 | 67.5% | 78 | 53 |
| alameda do Zambujeiro, 15 | Active | €780,000 | €4,785 | 49.9% | 75 | 46 |
| Median comp | €780,000 | €4,785 | 49.9% | 81 | 49 |
Long-term rental Given the property’s significant price overvaluation with a 99.4% gap versus its fair value, it is unlikely to attract long-term tenants in a rural area that scores only 46/100 for neighborhood quality. With a 0% gross yield and low housing demand, this investment won't provide a sustainable return. Family rental While the villa's condition is rated 88/100, indicating well-maintained premises, the excessive listing price poses a significant barrier to occupying families looking for affordability in a rural market. Families will likely prioritize cost-effective options in neighborhoods with lower overall amenities, which hampers potential tenant appeal.
Economic and Tenant Instability Risk The property faces a risk of fluctuating income and potential vacancies due to a low economic stability score of 45/100 and a tenant stability score of 50/100, which suggests possible difficulties in maintaining consistent rental income.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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