This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 2-bathroom house of 156 m², built in 2018, energy rating D. Located on rua do Pinhal Manso, Venda do Pinheiro e Santo Estêvão das Galés parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. This property features a T0 annex perfect for guests or as a rental opportunity, alongside a water well that can support sustainable gardening with the several fruit trees.
The valuation. The asking price of €650,000 exceeds the fair value of €574,881 by €75,119, indicating that the property is overpriced at 13.1%. This discrepancy suggests caution for potential buyers. Buy-to-flip angle. A resale strategy could involve renovating the house to enhance its appeal, particularly updating basic fixtures to achieve a higher resale price. This approach aims to quickly capitalize on the market demand for improved homes. Buy-to-let angle. With a gross yield of 2.7% from estimated rental income of €1,463/month, the property presents modest cash flow potential for long-term rental. Targeting families could help maintain high occupancy rates in this suburban area.
Fair value modelled at €574,881 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €650,000 sits €75,119 (13.1%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €650,000 versus the rua do Pinhal Manso area baseline of €615,170 (€3,943/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 70/100 is below the parish average, reducing fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price below the wider parish average — a hyper-local discount distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €615,170, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €574,881 (€3,685/m²), a €75,119 (13.1%) gap versus the €650,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rua do Pinhal Manso | Subject | €650,000 | €4,167 | — | 68 | 73 |
| Venda do Pinheiro e Santo Estêvão das Galés · 6fba8b | Active | €575,000 | €3,594 | 13.8% | 74 | 61 |
| Venda do Pinheiro e Santo Estêvão das Galés · 8936c5 | Active | €590,000 | €3,933 | 5.6% | 77 | 70 |
| Milharado · 87518e | Active | €620,000 | €4,593 | 10.2% | — | 59 |
| Venda do Pinheiro e Santo Estêvão das Galés · 93893a | Active | €997,000 | €3,777 | 9.4% | 80 | 76 |
| Median comp | €605,000 | €3,855 | 7.5% | 77 | 66 |
Family rental The property at €650,000 represents a 13.1% premium over its fair value of €574,881, making it less attractive for long-term family renting. Additionally, with a gross yield of 2.7% and a condition rating of 70/100, this investment may not appeal to suburban families looking for good value. Long-term rental With a fair value of €574,881 and the property priced at €650,000, the long-term rental strategy is challenged by a significant overpricing of 13.1%. The low yield of 2.7% suggests limited rental income potential for tenants seeking stable living arrangements in the area. Buy-and-hold As a buy-and-hold investment, the €650,000 listing is overpriced compared to the fair value of €574,881, indicating a 13.1% gap that diminishes long-term profitability. The current condition and neighbourhood ratings further suggest that this property may not generate adequate appreciation or rental growth in the foreseeable future.
Economic volatility risk With an economic stability score of 70/100, there is a potential risk of fluctuations in market conditions that could affect rental incomes.
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