This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
5-bedroom, 1-bathroom house of 320 m², built in 2003. Located Cascais e Estoril parish, Cascais municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: The property boasts a dedicated office space and a 160 m² cellar, enhancing its functionality for both work and leisure activities.
The valuation. The asking price of €2,500,000 significantly exceeds the fair value of €1,915,604, resulting in an overvaluation of €584,396 (30.5%). This property should not be considered a deal at its current price. Buy-to-flip angle. A buy-to-flip strategy may be challenging given the asking price, unless significant renovations can drastically increase market appeal. Given the current listing, a quick resale in the current market is unlikely to yield anticipated profit. Buy-to-let angle. With an estimated rental income of €6,042/month and a gross yield of 2.9%, long-term rental strategies could provide steady cash flow. The coastal location and quality finishes may attract families seeking residential stability.
Fair value modelled at €1,915,604 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €2,500,000 sits €584,396 (30.5%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €2,500,000 versus the Cascais e Estoril, Cascais, Lisbon area baseline of €1,536,855 (€4,803/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 81/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €1,536,855, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €1,915,604 (€5,986/m²), a €584,396 (30.5%) gap versus the €2,500,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cascais e Estoril · 2fcb34 | Subject | €2,500,000 | €7,813 | — | 78 | 72 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 9385e9 | Active | €1,420,000 | €5,635 | 27.9% | 72 | 76 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 1e635b | Active | €4,200,000 | €6,297 | 19.4% | 68 | 66 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 26206f | Active | €2,100,000 | €5,676 | 27.4% | 72 | 65 |
| rua São José | Active | €1,400,000 | €8,235 | 5.4% | 75 | 67 |
| Median comp | €1,760,000 | €5,987 | 23.4% | 72 | 67 |
Long-term rental This property is currently overpriced by 30.5%, indicating that the investment may not generate sufficient long-term returns compared to its fair market value. Additionally, its gross yield of only 2.9% suggests that it may not provide a competitive return on investment relative to the local housing market dynamics. Family rental Despite the property's amenities and proximity to Lisbon, its valuation at €2,500,000 surpasses the fair value of €1,915,604 by a significant margin. With a gross yield of 2.9%, families may find more attractive options that align better with their budgets in the Cascais e Estoril area. Buy-and-hold Given the property’s Satisfactory condition rating of 81/100, investors in a buy-and-hold strategy might be disappointed by the 30.5% gap from fair value, indicating it could take longer to realize any appreciation. With a current yield of only 2.9%, this investment could underperform compared to other opportunities in the region. Not ideal for The property is not suitable for short-term vacation rental as the price remains above fair market value, limiting potential margins. Additionally, given the current valuation, it does not align well with the student housing market or luxury rental options.
Economic Dependence The economic stability score of 75/100 suggests potential vulnerability to market fluctuations, which could affect rental income consistency.
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