This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 5-bathroom house of 437 m², built in 2015, energy rating A. Located Vermelha parish, Cadaval municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: The property boasts a heated saltwater infinity pool, a leisure area with a jacuzzi, and a 360-degree terrace offering stunning nature views.
The valuation. The asking price of €1,490,000 is significantly above the fair value of €922,607, resulting in an excess of €567,393, or 61.5%. This property is deemed overpriced in the current market conditions.
Fair value modelled at €922,607 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €1,490,000 sits €567,393 (61.5%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €1,490,000 versus the Vermelha, Cadaval, Lisbon area baseline of €700,180 (€1,602/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 85/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €700,180, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €922,607 (€2,111/m²), a €567,393 (61.5%) gap versus the €1,490,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vermelha · 53cca0 | Subject | €1,490,000 | €3,410 | — | 83 | 59 |
| rua da Bica, 7 | Active | €390,000 | €2,516 | 26.2% | 74 | 58 |
| rua Principal | Active | €465,000 | €2,291 | 32.8% | 75 | 61 |
| Vermelha · 875016 | Active | €425,000 | €1,932 | 43.3% | 80 | 56 |
| Peral · a80641 | Active | €649,000 | €3,245 | 4.8% | 85 | 58 |
| Median comp | €445,000 | €2,404 | 29.5% | 78 | 58 |
Long-term rental Given the property is priced at €1,490,000, which is 61.5% above the fair value of €922,607, this investment lacks the potential for a viable return, especially with a gross yield of 0%. The condition rating of 85/100 suggests reasonable upkeep, but the overpriced listing undermines its appeal in the rental market. Buy-and-hold Investing in this property for a buy-and-hold strategy does not align with sound financial principles due to its steep pricing of €1,490,000 versus the fair value of €922,607. The lack of yield and challenges posed by the rural location diminish the investment's desirability over the long term.
High Economic Risk The property is exposed to high economic risk due to a low economic stability score of 40/100, indicating potential volatility in the local market.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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