This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 3-bathroom villa of 108 m², energy rating D. Located Quinta do Conde parish, Sesimbra municipality, Setúbal district. Notable Feature: The property includes a newly constructed swimming pool and leisure area, enhancing outdoor living in a tranquil setting close to local amenities.
The valuation. The asking price of €425,000 exceeds the fair value of €312,798 by €112,202, which is a significant 35.9% premium. This indicates that the property is overpriced in the current market. Buy-to-flip angle. A buy-to-flip strategy may be challenging due to the property's asking price, requiring careful consideration of potential renovation costs versus projected resale values. Potential buyers should analyze the market for comparable sales closely before proceeding. Buy-to-let angle. The estimated rental income of €1,062/month equates to a gross yield of 3%, which is relatively low compared to market standards. This suggests that it may be more suitable as a long-term rental property for families due to the stable demand in the neighbourhood.
Fair value modelled at €312,798 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €425,000 sits €112,202 (35.9%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €425,000 versus the Quinta do Conde, Sesimbra, Setúbal area baseline of €283,010 (€2,620/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 78/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €283,010, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €312,798 (€2,896/m²), a €112,202 (35.9%) gap versus the €425,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinta do Conde · 9d2960 | Subject | €425,000 | €3,935 | — | 76 | 75 |
| Fernão Ferro · 96c6f5 | Active | €549,000 | €3,921 | 0.3% | 78 | 73 |
| rua Mário Viégas, 30 | Active | €420,000 | €3,000 | 23.8% | 74 | 72 |
| avenida da Escola | Active | €750,000 | €2,604 | 33.8% | 75 | 69 |
| rua da Juventude | Active | €525,000 | €2,793 | 29.0% | 75 | 72 |
| Median comp | €537,000 | €2,897 | 26.4% | 75 | 72 |
Long-term rental The property, with a gross yield of 3%, does not present an attractive investment opportunity due to its significantly inflated listing price of €425,000, which is 35.9% above its fair value of €312,798. Additionally, while the area benefits from employment demand and low crime levels, these factors are insufficient to justify the premium being asked. Buy-and-hold Investing in this property for a long-term hold is less favorable given its overpriced nature compared to the fair value assessment, indicating that the current market conditions may not support adequate appreciation in the future. Furthermore, while the neighborhood offers a reasonable quality of life, the 78/100 condition rating does not compensate for the steep purchase price. Family rental Although the neighborhood scores favorably in terms of amenities and safety, this villa's valuation at €425,000 makes it a less viable option for family rental investors seeking reasonable returns. The price corresponds to a significant gap above fair value, which limits its attractiveness for families looking for affordability in the rental market.
Potential Economic Flip Risk There is a risk that both economic and tenant stability scores at 75/100 may indicate vulnerability to local economic fluctuations, potentially affecting rental income consistency.
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