This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 1-bathroom house of 200 m², built in 1980, energy rating D. Located on estrada da Senhora do Ó, Carvoeira parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. The property features an independent annex with the potential to create a small studio, enhancing rental income opportunities or serving as a guest accommodation.
The valuation. The asking price of €445,000 is significantly below the fair value of €718,232, sitting €273,232 (38.0%) underpriced. This presents a unique opportunity for value appreciation in a growing market.
Fair value modelled at €718,232 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €445,000 sits €273,232 (38.0%) below — the upside to fair value.
Asking €445,000 versus the estrada da Senhora do Ó area baseline of €776,581 (€3,883/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 63/100 is below the parish average, reducing fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price below the wider parish average — a hyper-local discount distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €776,581, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €718,232 (€3,591/m²), a €273,232 (38.0%) gap versus the €445,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| estrada da Senhora do Ó | Subject | €445,000 | €2,225 | — | 55 | 61 |
| Carvoeira · f10bb0 | Active | €400,000 | €2,759 | 24.0% | — | 64 |
| rua da Mina, 33 | Active | €650,000 | €3,963 | 78.1% | 72 | 59 |
| Carvoeira · a80a6e | Active | €650,000 | €3,591 | 61.4% | — | 61 |
| Ericeira · cc9b3c | Active | €650,000 | €3,591 | 61.4% | 72 | 59 |
| Median comp | €650,000 | €3,591 | 61.4% | 72 | 60 |
Long-term rental The 3-bed house in Carvoeira, Mafra offers a gross yield of 5.5%, making it an appealing long-term rental investment given its proximity to Lisbon and low expected crime rates. With a fair value of €718,232, the property is currently priced at €445,000, presenting a significant gap of 38% that enhances its attractiveness. Buy-and-hold The property is fundamentally strong for a buy-and-hold strategy, given its assessed fair value of €718,232 compared to the listing price of €445,000, offering a compelling opportunity for future appreciation. Additionally, with a condition rating of 63/100, it is a viable option for steady appreciation over time due to its location and tenant quality potential. Family rental This property stands out for family rentals, offering enough space with three bedrooms and a manageable condition score of 63/100. The price of €445,000 is well below the fair value of €718,232, allowing families seeking residence in a low-crime and conveniently located neighborhood to secure a favorable housing option.
Tenant turnover risk The combined economic and tenant stability scores of 60/100 suggest potential issues with tenant retention, which could lead to increased vacancies and rental income fluctuations.
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