This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 7-bathroom house of 314 m², energy rating A. Located on rua das Gardénias, Cascais e Estoril parish, Cascais municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: The villa includes a state-of-the-art gym with a dedicated sprint track and an elegantly designed wine cellar, enhancing its luxury and lifestyle offerings.
The valuation. The asking price of €2,850,000 significantly exceeds the fair value of €2,332,759 by €517,241, marking a 22.2% overvaluation. This indicates that the property is priced above its intrinsic worth. Buy-to-flip angle. The buy-to-flip strategy aims to capitalize on potential renovations and market improvements to resell the property for a higher return. However, given its current asking price, substantial appreciation would be necessary to realize a profit. Buy-to-let angle. A buy-to-let approach anticipates a consistent rental income of approximately €5,700 per month, resulting in a gross yield of 2.4%. This yield indicates a modest return on investment within the current market context.
Fair value modelled at €2,332,759 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €2,850,000 sits €517,241 (22.2%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €2,850,000 versus the rua das Gardénias area baseline of €1,905,932 (€6,070/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 86/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €1,905,932, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €2,332,759 (€7,429/m²), a €517,241 (22.2%) gap versus the €2,850,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rua das Gardénias | Subject | €2,850,000 | €9,076 | — | 94 | 70 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 652f60 | Active | €3,500,000 | €7,543 | 16.9% | 85 | 71 |
| rua Padre Miguel Barros | Active | €3,900,000 | €8,478 | 6.6% | 79 | 69 |
| rua Armando Villar | Active | €4,470,000 | €8,887 | 2.1% | 80 | 67 |
| Alcabideche · 0dcbcb | Active | €1,800,000 | €6,429 | 29.2% | 85 | 73 |
| Median comp | €3,700,000 | €8,011 | 11.7% | 83 | 70 |
Long-term rental The current listing price of €2,850,000 presents a 22.2% gap above its fair value of €2,332,759, indicating that the property is overpriced. With a gross yield of 2.4%, this investment lacks sufficient return potential in the long-term rental market, especially in a suburban location. Buy-and-hold Investing in this property at €2,850,000 would not be ideal, given that it is overpriced compared to the fair value of €2,332,759, resulting in a significant 22.2% premium. The relatively low yield of 2.4% further diminishes the attractiveness of a buy-and-hold strategy in this suburban context. Family rental While the property could appeal to families, its listing price of €2,850,000 is overpriced by 22.2% against the fair value of €2,332,759. The gross yield of 2.4% does not align with the financial expectations typically sought in a family rental investment, particularly given the suburban nature of the location.
Economic Sensitivity The property's economic stability score of 70 may indicate vulnerability to market fluctuations, potentially impacting cash flow and tenant retention negatively.
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