This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
2-bedroom, 2-bathroom house of 131 m², built in 1900, energy rating F. Located Cascais e Estoril parish, Cascais municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: This historic residence offers direct access to a private bay, providing an exclusive seaside retreat in the heart of Cascais e Estoril.
The valuation. The asking price of €3,000,000 significantly exceeds the fair value of €946,442, showcasing an overpriced property by €2,053,558 or 217.0%. This valuation presents a clear divergence from market expectations.
Fair value modelled at €946,442 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €3,000,000 sits €2,053,558 (217.0%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €3,000,000 versus the Cascais e Estoril, Cascais, Lisbon area baseline of €832,010 (€6,351/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 75/100 is below the parish average, reducing fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €832,010, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €946,442 (€7,225/m²), a €2,053,558 (217.0%) gap versus the €3,000,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cascais e Estoril · 2ce076 | Subject | €3,000,000 | €22,901 | — | 70 | 73 |
| rua dos Navegantes | Active | €695,000 | €9,267 | 59.5% | 73 | 74 |
| rua João Diogo Correia | Active | €795,000 | €7,227 | 68.4% | 76 | 70 |
| avenida João Diogo Correia, 118 | Active | €795,000 | €4,704 | 79.5% | 73 | 70 |
| rua Nossa Senhora dos Navegantes, 25 | Active | €650,000 | €7,222 | 68.5% | 74 | 63 |
| Median comp | €745,000 | €7,225 | 68.5% | 74 | 70 |
Long-term rental The property represents a significant investment risk due to its inflated price of €3,000,000 compared to a fair value of €946,442, leaving a drastic gap of 217%. Further, the gross yield of only 1.1% suggests a low return on investment, making it an unsuitable candidate for long-term rental in the current market. Family rental Although the property is located in a suburban area of the Lisbon Metropolitan Area with decent amenities, the listed price of €3,000,000 is excessively high, creating a gap of 217% against its fair value of €946,442. The limited yield of 1.1% fails to justify this price point, indicating that this property is not a viable option for family rentals. Value-add renovation The property’s condition rating of 75/100 implies potential for improvement; however, the steep price of €3,000,000, 217% above its fair value, threatens the economic feasibility of any renovation investments. With a low yield of 1.1%, pursuing a value-add renovation strategy in this scenario is not advisable as the overpricing outweighs potential gains.
Tenant turnover risk The tenant stability score of 65/100 indicates a moderate risk of turnover, which could lead to increased vacancy rates and potential loss of rental income.
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